WTA Charleston Open 2023 (6th April)

WTA CHARLESTON 

KASATKINA 1.52 V PERA 2.90 

Pera is very much at home on clay as shown by her win loss over the last 2 seasons which reads 21-6 including winning Hamburg and Budapest titles last seaso. Kasatkina when she burst onto the scene was very much a clay court specialist but has sincemoved more onto hard courts and and is likely to be vulnerable here to an opponent on her favourite surface LAY KASATKINA 

WTA BOGOTA 

STEARNS 1.85 V AVANEYSAN 2.20 

Stearns has a 26-20 win loss record on clay and although In good form it has mainly been on hard courts and seems to have priced up accordingly. Her opponent is a clay court specialist who has played around 70% of her completed matches on clay with a career record of 106-53 and was very impressive in defeating Errani dropping just one game all match LAY STEARNS

WTA Charleston Open 2023

WTA CHARLESTON 

SHNAIDER 3.85 V KUDERMETOVA 1.34 

Shnaider is very much at home on clay as shown by her 64-19 win loss record and she has somewhat struggled a bit on the hardcourts but will be looking for to the clay swing and picking up some good results and I suspect upsetting a few favoured players like todays match up. Kudermetova has had a decent season reaching the SF at Adelaide and Qatar but this will be her first match on clay and I expect her to be caused plenty of problems LAY KUDERMETOVA @ 1.34

WTA Charlston Open 2023

WTA CHARLESTON 

STEPHENS 1.28 V CHIRICO 4.30 

Stephens leads the head to head 2-0 although they were 6 years ago, both players are very happy on clay and Chirico has come through her 2 matches here so far in straight sets, as always with Stephens her motivation for tournaments outside of grand slams has to be taken on trust and she is a crazy price here against a dangerous young opponent making her way back up the rankings LAY STEPHENS 1.30. 

WTA BOGOTA (9th April)

WTA BOGOTA 

Rakhimova to beat Maria @ 11-10 

Rakhimova has the better win loss record on clay over their last 50 matches and she has come through here in impressive fashion in three tough sets against all her opponents but she has impressed me with how she has pulled through. Maria has had the easier run to the SF stage but equally the higher player she has beaten was ranked 80. Coin toss of a match so 11-10 is the value here. 

WTA CHARLESTON 

Anisimova to beat Jabeur @ Evens 

Both players have a fairly similar record on clay although this clay plays slightly different to the clay in other parts of the world but the last 50 matches Anisimova has a 32-18 win loss record and Jabeur has a 31-19 win loss record. Jabeur has not lost a set this week but two of her three opponents have been ranked outside of the top 50 ranked players in the world so she has done what was expected. Anisimova has been impressive in defeating Sabalenka ranked 5 in the world and the way she dismantled Vanderweghe in the last round was very impressive.

WTA Charleston (5th April)

WTA CHARLESTON 

PERA TO BEAT CORNET @ 11-10 

Cornet is far too unreliable to be taking odds on about especially against a player who is very much at home on clay and faster clay of Charleston. 

VIKHLYANTSEVA V DIYAS OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

PETKOVIC TO BEAT PUTINTSEVA @ 7-4 

DAVIS V BRENGLE OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 5-4 

Two players lacking power but happy to grind out results here points to overs 

WTA BOGOTA 

FRIEDSAM V TOMOVA OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 6-5 

SCHMIEDLOVA V BOLSOVA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

Both players are happy on clay with Schmiedlova coming back into the sort of for of three/ four years ago when she was a force on clay, Bolsova is also at home on clay and while Schmieldova should come through I suspect it will be tighter than the odds suggest.

ZIDANSEK V KALINSKAYA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

Zidansek leads the head to head 1-0 winning last season in straight sets on hard courts, both are happy on clay courts as shown by career win loss records of 57-33 for Kalinskaya and 107-40 for Zidansek.

WTA CHARLESTON

WTA CHARLESTON

SEVASTOVA TO BEAT GOERGES @ 21-20

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SEVASTOVA  70.9% 39.3%

GOERGES 74% 31.7%

Goerges leads the head to head 4-3, interestingly if the serve and break percentages are looked at on clay over the last 12 months only then they become more in favour of Sevastova who in fact holds serve more than Goerges and Breaks over 10% more often and considering Goerges has been in great form during this time it shows how good Sevastova has been on clay as well.

BERTENS TO BEAT KEYS @ EVENS 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BERTENS  76.4% 43.9%

KEYS  70.7% 36.3%

Bertens leads the head to head 1-0 winning at the French Open in their only meetings, looking at the stats over the last 2 months Keys record on. Clay is 4 wins 4 losses compared to Bertens 25 Wins to 6 Losses. Bertens looks a huge price here as everything points to her being victorious as she is so much more at home on clay than Keys 

WTA CHARLESTON

WTA CHARLESTON 

PLISKOVA TO BEAT SEVASTOVA @ 12-5

Pliskova leads the head to head 1-0 having won on hard court earlier this year, 15-6 against 13-5 are their respective win loss records on clay and although Sevastova is a the better player on dirt this clay is fast clay which should aid Pliskova’s big serve and she could prove tough to break. 

PLISKOVA V SEVASTOVA TO FEATURE A TIE BREAK @ 11-4

WTA MONTERREY 

BABOS TO BEAT PUIG @ 5-4

BABOS V PUIG TO FEATURE A TIE BREAK @ 9-4

Babos has an excellent serve as shown by her hold percentage of over 70% and both players break on average around the 34% mark. Puig all out attacking style and flat groundstrokes are great when she is in form but are very prone to errors and similar to the Pliskova match I think she will struggle to break Babos here.

BOGDAN TO BEAT COLLINS @ 9-4

Collins has been in great form but Bogdan is a very underrated player and has a better hold and break percentage than her opponent on hard courts  over the last 2 years 

WTA CHARLESTON

WTA CHARLESTON

HERCOG TO BEAT CORNET @ 5-4

Cornet leads the head to head 4-1, on clay it is 1-1 and just by looking at their respective records on clay courts matches over the last 12 months tells you everything you need to know Hercog is 38-8 and Cornet is 5-5

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

HERCOG 60.5% 40.6%

CORNET 61.9% 38.9%

STOLLAR TO BEAT KONTA @ 10-3

Konta has never been at ease playing on clay, Stollar is quite happy and this could turn into quite a test for the out of form Konta here, Ideally I was trying to find around + 4.5 games on the handicap market but cannot find it so am taking a chance on an outright win here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

STOLLAR 69.6% 39.6%

KONTA 69% 30.5%

BUZARNESCU TO BEAT ERRANI @ 6-4

Buzarenescu has come alive over the last 12 months and although the majority of her success has been on the ITF circuit, she also reached the final at Hobart this year to show she is playing with such confidence that she can transfer it over to the main tour, she is at home on clay courts and will prove Errani with a stern test here as the Italian is always vulnerable with her serve being so weak

GAVRILOVA TO BEAT GIORGI @ 21-20

Win loss records on clay courts over the last 2 years heavily favour Gavrilova with 20-10 compared to 13-8

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

GAVRILOVA 65.7% 42.7%

GIORGI 66.5% 38.5%

SIEGMUND TO BEAT OSAKA @ 17-10

Although Osaka has been in tremendous form of late she is not a natural on clay, respective results over the last 2 years are Siegmund 36-10  and Osaka 11-9 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SIEGMUND 68.9% 48.3%

OSAKA 65.3% 35.5%