WTA MALLORCA: LOTTNER TO BEAT SEVASTOVA @ 2-1

WTA MALLORCA

LOTTNER TO BEAT SEVASTOVA @ 2-1

Lottner has been playing excellently of late, reaching the QF in her last grass tournament and winning her three matches here so far.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

LOTTNER 75.6% 35.4%

SEVASTOVA 68.8% 37.4%

PETERSON TO BEAT TOMLJANOVIC @ EVENS

Both have good serves especially on grass but Peterson is by far the stronger on return and if she can continue serving the way she has recently then Tomljanovic will find it very difficult to create opportunities to break serve.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

PETERSON 75.5% 34.6%

TOMLJANOVIC  75.4% 25.4%

WTA BIRMINGHAM: AHN TO BEAT BRADY @ 6-5

WTA BIRMINGHAM 

AHN TO BEAT BRADY @ 6-5

Head to head is tied 1-1 but comparing the respective records on grass courts shows that Ahn is far more at ease 13-6 compared to 4-6 win loss record for her opponent who tends to struggle as her movement is exposed on the faster surfaces. 

HOLD SERVE  BREAK SERVE

AHN 72.5% 36.7%

BRADY 80.3% 20.9%

JAKUPOVIC TO BEAT VICKERY @ 6-5

Jakupovic 9-6 win loss record compared to Vickery 14-12, recent form favours Jakupovic clearly as Vickery has ben eliminated in the first round in her last four tournaments, Jakupovic reached the QF at Nottingham where she was defeated by today’s finalist Konta

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

JAKUPOVIC 67.3% 29.8%

VICKERY 63.4% 36.8%

BUZARNESCU TO BEAT BABOS @ 6-5

Buzarnescu has continued her good form onto the grass season reaching the QF at Nottingham, Bbaos is a player who struggles badly on grass which is a little surprisingly considering her serve is actually her main weapon but a career win loss record of 12-21 on grass hardly inspires confidence and this will be her first match since crashing out of the French Open in the first round 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BUZARNESCU  75.8% 21.5%

BABOS 71.7% 23.1%

MLADENOVIC TO BEAT SINIAKOVA @ 11-10

Siniakova leads the head to head 3-2, recent form favour Siniakova as mladenovic has been awful but will be hoping the switch to grass will bring her some form as it is a surface that Siniakova has struggled on in the last as her win loss record of 9-10 shows compared to Malednovic’s 30-19 record. Maldenovic is an excellent doubles player and is at ease around the net and has a good serve and with Siniakova’s weak return game I think she will struggled to break Mladenovic here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

MLADENOVIC 74.9% 30.1%

SINIAKOVA 66.7% 34.4%

WTA MALLORCA

SABALENKO TO BEAT VAN UYTVANCK @ 6-5

WTA Nottingham: VEKIC TO BEAT KONTA @ 2-1

WTA NOTTINGHAM

VEKIC TO BEAT KONTA @ 2-1

VEKIC V KONTA TO FEATURE A TIE BREAK @ 5-2

Konta leads the head to head 2-1 but on grass they are tied at 1-1 in both of their meetings on grass there has been a tie break and I expect the same again from two very good servers, I still feel Konta has quite fragile confidence and Vekic is a dangerous opponent.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KONTA  80.2% 32.6%

VEKIC 72.7% 28.5%

WTA HERTOGENBOSCH: STOLLAR TO BEAT RISKE @ 11-4

WTA HERTOGENBOSCH 

STOLLAR TO BEAT RISKE @ 11-4

Stollar has a good serve, Rise is consistent but does not have any powerful weapons on grass and Stollar’s more powerful groundstrokes could see her cause an upset.

FLIPKENS TO BEAT BERTENS @ 11-10

Flipkens is far happier on grass than Bertens, her net play is some of the best on tour and I fancy her strongly to win as she just has too much for Bertens on grass. 

WTA NOTTINGHAM

BOULTER TO BEAT STOSUR @ 2-1

Stosur is not a natural on grass despite her big serve and Boulter is high on confidence, playing at home and has nothing to lose, better movement and has a decent return of serve that will negate Stosur’s serve somewhat. 

WTA Hertogenbosch: STOLLAR TO BEAT ZHANG @ 5-4

Hertogenbosch

STOLLAR TO BEAT ZHANG @ 5-4

Stollar leads the head to head 1-0, records on grass courts favour Stollar although the amount of matches is small she is 4-4 compared to Zhang who is awful on grass with a 13-18 record. Stollar has a good serve and this should prove pivotal in this match up.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

STOLLAR 65% 31.7%

ZHANG  63.4% 33%

WTA NOTTINGHAM: FETT TO BEAT LAPKO @ 11-10

WTA NOTTINGHAM

FETT TO BEAT LAPKO @ 11-10

Fett has an 8-4 win loss record over the last 12 months and grass should suit her game as she has a good serve and powerful groundstrokes

ROYG TO BEAT BUZARNESCU @ 6-4

Small sample size of matches for Buz on grass so her stats are not really relevant, Royg has a good serve and the odds here should be a lot closer and both players are around the same standard on grass

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

ROYG 68.2% 38.6%

BUZARNESCU 84% 11.5%

WTA s-HERTOGENBOSCH

SABALENKA TO BEAT VONDROUSOVA @ 11-10

Vondrousova leads the head to head 2-0 but both of these have been on indoor hard courts and I feel grass suits Sabalenka more than her opponent here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SABALENKA 86.2% 31.6%

VONDROUSOVA 71.6% 26.9%

VIKHLYANTSEVA TO BEAT BERTENS @ 7-4

Bertens is awful on grass as her stats show with a win loss record of 6-12 in her career and no wins last season.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

VIKHLYANTSEVA 78.3% 32.2%

BERTENS 65% 31%

French Open 2018: KASATKINA TO BEAT WOZNIACKI @ 11-10

KASATKINA TO BEAT WOZNIACKI @ 11-10

Kasatkina leads the head to head 2-1, has a better win loss record through her career on clay and this is without doubt. Her best and Wozniacki’s least favourite surface 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KASATKINA 64.7% 48.2%

WOZNIACKI 67.4% 46.4%

BUZARNESCU TO BEAT KEYS @ 6-4

Clay courts win loss records over the last 12 months are Keys 9-4 Buz 33-9, I expect Buz to move Keys around the courts and expose her somewhat dodgy movement

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BUZARNESCU 68% 42.6%

KEYS 69.7% 38.9%

French Open 2018: GIORGI TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 6-4

GIORGI TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 6-4

Giorgi leads the head to head 2-1, she has a 10-4 win loss record over the last 12 months compared to 8-4 for Stephens 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

GIORGI 68.5% 42.4%

STEPHENS 69.3% 40.6%

MUGURUZA V STOSUR OVER 20.5 GAMES @ EVENS

Muguruza leads the head to head 2-1, two of the three matches have been three sets and have covered this odds line

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

STOSUR 75.1% 32.8%

MUGURUZA 73.7% 40%

PLISKOVA TO BEAT SHARAPOVA @ EVENS

Both have been in good form here and I think the difference is Pliskova’s serve is more stable and less likely to crack under pressure and in a match dominated by serve that will be a telling point. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SHARAPOVA 72% 41.2%

PLISKOVA 78.3% 31.4%

BEGU TO BEAT GARCIA @ 9-4

BEGU V GARCIA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS

Garcia leads the head to head 3-2, on clay it is tied at 1-1, 3 of their 5 matches have gone to three sets and out of 13 sets played there has been 4 tie breaks so I was tempted by the tie break in match @ 103 but being the French Open there is no tie break in the final set so the price is not high enough as we are only looking at two sets

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BEGU 64.4% 41.4%

GARCIA 74.7% 33.4%

GOERGES TO BEAT WILLIAMS @ 11-10

Williams leads the head to head 2-0 but has not looked at her best since returning and Goerges has been playing great tennis for the last 12 months and will be inside the world’s top 10 after this tournament 

HOLD SERVE  BREAK SERVE

GOERGES 74.9% 27.2%

WILLIAMS 68.4% 46.2%

WTA FRENCH OPEN

FRENCH OPEN 

PETKOVIC TO BEAT MLADENOVIC @ 11-8

Petkovic leads the head to head 5-0 including two wins on clay, she has the better return of serve and that could be the difference here.

PERA TO BEAT VESNINA @ EVENS

Pera win loss on clay over the last 12 months is 24-7 compared to Vesnina 5-4 who has struggled with injury and lack of confidence on the court. 

KUCOVA TO BEAT ZHANG @ 10-3

Zhang tends to struggle badly on clay courts losing nearly 50% of her matches, Kucova is comfortable on the surface and in decent form having reached the last 32 last week and is value to cause an upset here.

SCHMIEDLOVA TO BEAT BEGU @ 6-4

Schmiedlova leads the head to head 3-1 and on clay it is tied 1-1, Begu holds more often but Schmiedlova is more of a threat on her return game. 13-8 compared to 21-7 are their respective win loss records on clay over the last 12 months and that just swings it in Schmiedlova’s favour

HERCOG TO BEAT PAVLYUCHENKOVA @ 8-5

Hercog is real clay court specialist, Pavy leads the head to head 3-1, Hercog has greater variation to her game and should come through and expose Pavlyuchenkova’s movement 

VOEGELE TO BEAT TSURENKO @ EVENS

SIEGMUND TO BEAT VANDERWEGHE @ 11-10

Vanderweghe awful on clay against a very capable opponent on this surface and one who won’t be blasted off the court

KOZLOVA TO BEAT OSTAPENKO @ 8-1

Defending champion Ostapenko still is raw and unpredictable, Kozlova very capable on the red stuff and definitely not an 8-1 shot

COLLINS TO BEAT WOZNIACKI @ 33-10

KANEPI TO BEAT KASATKINA @ 7-4

CIRSTEA TO BEAT GAVRILOVA @ 7-5

WTA STRASBOURG

WTA STRASBOURG

SAFAROVA TO BEAT HSIEH @ EVENS

STOSUR TO BEAT GAVRILOVA @ EVENS 

WTA NUREMBERG 

ROYG TO BEAT SINIAKOVA @ 9-5