WTA BEIJING
MUCHOVA (1.82) V KEYS (2.18)
Both have been in good form lately, Muchova winning in Seoul dropping just one set on her way to the title and Keys Winning Cincinnati before reaching the last 16 at the US Open before losing to Svitolina and the reaching the QF at Osaka normally I would favour Keys here but the act she retired from her last match to Kerber leaves me favouring Muchova and I am happy to back her.
BACK MUCHOVA @ 1.82 EXIT 1.30
MERTENS (2.04) V MARTIC (1.90)
Mertens leads the head to head 1-0, Mertens 21-12 hard court record this season compared to Martic 13-10, both players have been in decent form and I favour three sets here or at least two tight sets.
BACK MERTENS 2.04 LAY 1.60 USE GREEN ACCUMULATED TO LAY THE FIRST SET WINNER @ 1.30 EXIT 1.80
TOMLJANOVIC (2.24) V RISKE (1.73)
Tomljanovic leads the head to head 2-, Riske has been in brilliant form last week reaching the final at Wuhan but it is always tough trying to follow that up and Tomljanovic hits the ball flat and hard and sometimes Riske can struggle, in the head to head all matches have gone to three sets and if Riske wins the first set then I will be looking to lay at a price around the 1.30 mark at any point during the first set.
LAY RISKE 1.73 RELAY 1.30 EXIT 2.40 1.80
KERBER (1.52) V HERCOG (2.72)
Kerber leads the head to head 5-2, Kerber coming back into form and Hercog continues with her struggles on hard courts this season
BACK KERBER 1.52 REBACK 2.20 EXIT 1.20 1.70
PETKOVIC (6.2) V OSAKA (1.17)
Petkovic leads the head to head 1-0, Osaka should come through but has played a lot of tennis lately and Osaka is far too short a starting price here so is a very low liability lay here.
LAY OSAKA 1.17 EXIT 1.30
WTA WUHAN
KVITOVA (1.65) V YASTREMSKA (2.48)
Both players have been in decent form with season records of 22-7 for Kvitova and 19-10 for Yastremska. I feel that Kvitova will come through here as she may just be able to overpower the youngster with her hard flat hitting. Yastremska is incredibly aggressive on her return of serve and will put pressure on Kvitova’s serve but I expect her to come through but want a higher price before backing her.
BACK KVITOVA 2.0+ EXIT 1.30
WTA WUHAN
HSIEH (2.50) V KUZNETSOVA (1.62)
Kuznetsova leads the head to head 2-0, Hsieh has great variety and will get Kuznetsova moving around the court and this could expose what is becoming a bit of a weakness. She was impressive in beating Wozniacki in her first match here.
LAY KUZNETSOVA 1.62 RELAY 1.20 EXIT 2.35 - 1.55
RISKE (1.82) V PUIG (2.16)
Puig leads the head to head 2-0, Puig tends to overpower Riske who is very consistent but lacks the power to be able to dictate matches and Puig although not having a great season was impressive in beating Kerber in her first match here.
BACK PUIG 2.16 REBACK 3.50 EXIT 1.45 - 2.80
MUGURUZA (1.96) V SVITOLINA (1.96)
Svitolina leads the head to head 5-4 but on hard courts, it becomes 5-2, Svitolina has been in better form this season on hard courts as shown by her 24-12 record compared to Muguruza 18-10. Svitolina does not really have a weakness in her game and I fancy her to overcome Muguruza who is becoming increasingly inconsistent.
LAY MUGURUZA 1.96 EXIT 2.80
WTA TASHKENT
PARMENTIER (2.26) V KRUNIC (1.72)
Parmentier leads the head to head 1-0, Krunic has been in awful form on hard courts this season with a 2-9 win-loss record and Parmentier can come through here if her serve is working well.
LAY KRUNIC 1.72 - EXIT 2.70
WTA OSAKA
HIBINO (1.57) V FLINK (2.68)
Hibino won last week in Hiroshima but will find it very difficult to follow up this week and against a very competent opponent on hard courts, I feel she is a good value lay here.
LAY HIBINO 1.57 EXIT 2.50
MUGURUZA (1.82) V HSIEH (2.20)
Hsieh leads the head to head 1-0 winning at the Australian Open in 2018, she has the variation to cause problems to a lot of players Muguruza being one of them as she can expose her movement. Muguruza has not won a match since the French Open so she has to be a lay here.
LAY MUGURUZA 1.82 EXIT 2.80
GIBBS (3.20) V KERBER (1.40)
Gibbs is a very consistent player who can sometimes get overpowered on court, Kerber is in such poor form at the minute she has to be opposed especially against a consistent defensively sound opponent and she has not won a game since the first round at Wimbledon and looks like she cannot wait for the season to finish
LAY KERBER 1.40 EXIT 2.20
SEOUL WTA
HERCOG (1.90) V BOGDAN (2.08)
Hercog leads the head to head 1-0 but that was on clay 10 years ago so fairly irrelevant, Hercog needs to use this end of season weaker events to get herself some more ranking points that way she will be less dependent on having such a stellar season on the clay, She should be able to overpower Bodgan here but I do want a higher price before backing Hercog.
BACK HERCOG 2.30 + EXIT 1.50
HON (2.48)
V BUZARNESCU (1.64)
Buzarnescu has had a bit of a horror season but looked like she was coming back into form a little bit in reaching the semi-final at Hiroshima before losing in three sets to eventual winner Hibino, She desperately needs a strong finish to this season to climb back in the rankings.
BACK BUZARNESCU 2.0 EXIT 1.30
Scores/Schedules
WTA NANCHANG
PETERSON (2.06) V LINETTE (1.91)
Peterson leads the head to head 1-0. Peterson is the more powerful player but Linette is nicely in form so it should be a close match here. Peterson has a far better record on hard courts 115-56 compared to Linette 139-105
LAY LINETTE IF SHE HITS 1.60 DURING THE FIRST SET OR AT 1.20 IF SHE WINS THE FIRST SET, EXIT 2.20
WTA ZHENGZHOU
ZHENG (2.56) V RISKE (1.64)
Riske leads the head to head 4-2 but on hard courts, it becomes 2-2 with Zheng both the last two meetings. Zheng record this season is 12 -10 compared to Riske 16-12 and both are similar players in that they don’t possess hugely powerful groundstrokes but Riske likes to stay int he points and force her opponent to make the mistakes whereas Zheng is slightly more attacking and I feel that will be the difference today and favour Zheng to come through.
LAY RISKE 1.64 - RELAY 1.15 - EXIT 2.30 1.40
US OPEN
SVITOLINA (3.55) V WILLIAMS (1.39)
Williams leads the head to head 4-1 on hard courts it becomes 3-1 but I am not reading too much into this as since their meetings, Williams is not the same player and neither is Svitolina. Williams has come through losing just one set so far but Svitolina has yet to drop a set and has beaten some top-class players in Konta, Keys, Yastremska and Venue Williams while Serena in truth has had on paper as easier run through here. Svitolina has great movement and will look to keep the rallies Long against Williams who will look to be very aggressive to keep the points shorter.
LAY WILLIAMS @ 1.39 - RELAY 1.18 BACK @ 2.60 - 1.70
US OPEN
VEKIC (1.96) V GOERGES (2.0)
Goerges leads the head to head 3-0, Vekic has been laying very well and my heart ays she could win this outlooking purely at the stats there is a reason Goerges leads 3-0 and it is purely that the matchup favours her game, she does everything just that little bit better than Vekic.
LAY VEKIC 1.96 - RELAY 1.40 - EXIT 3.0 - 1.90
OSAKA (1.48) V BENCIC (3.0)
Bencic leads the head to head 3-1, including 2-0 on hard courts Bencic has only dropped one set in this tournament so far and is getting better and better, Osaka has also been playing decent but taking into account the head to head and Bencic’s form then the price’s are wrong.
LAY OSAKA 1.48 - RELAY 1.18 - EXIT 2.30 - 1.32
MARTIC (2.20) V SEVASTOVA (1.77)
Head to head is tied at 1-1 with both meetings on clay, Both have come through their matches with a minor scare but it is Martin who I feel is playing the more consistent tennis and think she comes through this match but I need Sevastova to be a shorter price before laying.
LAY SEVASTOVA @ 1.40 EXIT
2.20
KENIN (2.60) V KEYS (1.60)
Head to head is tied at 1-1, both players been in excellent form with Kenin reaching the QF at Cincinnati before winning her matches here in straight sets, Keys won Cincinati and has also won her matches here with ease. This should be a great match as the head to head shows Kenin winning once on clay earlier this season and Keys winning most recently on hard court in two very tight sets. I would have to say the value s on laying Keys at the start as 1.60 is too short a price in the match up but calling a winner will be tough.
LAY KEYS @ 1.60 EXIT
2.20
SVITOLINA (1.60) V YASTREMSKA (2.60)
Svitolina 19-9 and Yastremska 16-8 record on hard courts so far this season shows they are both very much at home. Gauff’s presence has helped Yastremska avoid the media attention as everyone is focusing on the young American but Yastremska looks like the real deal to me with her super aggressive return game she will cause Svitolina problems today.
LAY SVITOLINA @ 1.60 EXIT 2.40
US OPEN
SWIATEK (2.02) V SEVASTOVA (1.94)
Swiatek has a 17-7 record this year on hard courts, compared to Sevastova 8-9 who has struggled for consistency this season even during her favoured clay-court season. Swiatek has probably the most aggressive return of serve on tour and I can see her overpowering the variation of Sevastova on this court.
LAY SEVASTOVA 1.94 EXIT 1.35
WOZNIACKI (1.70) V COLLINS (2.36)
7-6 Wozniacki and 11-8 Collins are their respective records on hard court this season, both came through tough first-round matches in three sets. They have only met on clay in their head to head with Wozniacki winning last season at the French Open and Collins winning this season after Wozniacki retired after losing the first set, although interestingly two of the three sets went to tie breaks so it suggests the players are closely matched, I believe Collins has a little more power on her shots and I fancy her to come through a tight match up.
BACK COLLINS 2.36 EXIT 1.40
US OPEN
Bouchard (5.5) V Sevastova (1.21)
Neither player has been in good form recently with Bouchard having a 6-13 win-loss record this season on hard courts and Sevastova 7-9. Sevastova should come through here but I am happy to lay as I expect Bouchard to keep it tight at the start.
LAY SEVASTOVA 1.21 - EXIT 1.50
Puig (2.68) V Peterson (1.56)
Peterson leads the head to head 1-0, Puig has the attacking game to cause Peterson problems here.
LAY PETERSON 1.25 - EXIT 1.80
Riske (2.08) V Muguruza (1.85)
Muguruza leads the head to head 2-1, Riske 14-11 Muguruza 17-8 win-loss records so far this season. Riske is a consistent player but Muguruza should overpower her in this match up.
BACK MUGURUZA 1.85 - REBACK MUGURUZA 2.60 - EXIT 1.30
Putintseva (1.44) V Brengle (2.82)
Brengle is consistent and played well on the ITF circuit at Landisville in her last tournament winning outright and it sets up perfectly here. Puntintseva is always vulnerable on serve and both players can struggle against power players but neither of these is that.
LAY PUTINTSEVA 1.44 - RELAY 1.20 - EXIT 2.20
Potapova (2.30) V Gauff (1.72)
Gauff had a great run to the third round at Wimbledon, but Potapova in my eyes currently is a class above and the odds are the wrong way round providing Potapova is fit.
BACK POTAPOVA 2.30 - REBACK 2.90 EXIT 1.40
