Monday, 11 October 2021

WTA Indian Wells - Evening Trades (11th October)

WTA INDIAN WELLS 

KERBER V KASATKINA OVER 21.5 GAMES 4-5 - Kasatkina leads the head to head 4-2 on hard courts but Kerber looking back in some sort of form should be able to keep this close

KALINSKAYA V GOLUBIC OVER 21.5 GAMES 10-11 

KONTAVEIT V ANDREESCU OVER 21.5 GAMES 10-11 - If Andreescu’s fitness can hold up then she will prove competitive against eh hard hitting Kontaveit 

JABEUR V COLLINS OVER 21.5 GAMES 17-20 - Collins should overpower Jabeur but I expect it to to three sets or at least two tight sets 

BADOSA GIBERT V GAUFF OVER 21.5 GAMES 10-11 - The young American is still quite unpredictable and her opponent is very underrated 

KREJICKOVA V ANISMOVA OVER 21.5 GAMES 17-20 

William Hill 41-93-1

Sunday, 10 October 2021

WTA INDIAN WELLS (10th October)

WTA INDIAN WELLS 

KVITOVA TO BEAT AZARENKA @ 11-10 

Kvitova leads the head to head 5-3 winning their most recent meeting at St Petersburg in straight sets in 2019 and the all the other meetings too place over 6 years ago! Almost identical records on hard courts over the last 50 matches with Kvitova 32-18 and Azarenka 33-17 last ten they have identical 7-3 win loss records. I just feel Kvitova if she is on form is virtually unplayable and although these occasions are rarer at odds against and with the match on her racket I am happy to take a chance here at generous odds. 

BEGU TO BEAT ROGERS @ 11-8 

Similar to the above match both have identical win loss records over their last 50 matches on hard courts 28-22 and recent form is very similar, Begu might be able to expose Rogers movement with her variation and this is where I expect her to get on top during the match. 

COLLINS TO BEAT JABEUR @ 6-5 

Colling leads the head to head 1-0 winning a tight three set match on clay and I expect the same today, she has the power to hit through Jabeur but Jabeur has the skill to be able to keep it tight and I expect Collins to come through in three sets with her power. 

BADOSA TO BEAT GAUFF @ 11-10 
KALINSKAYA TO BEAT GOLUBIC @ 11-8

Thursday, 7 October 2021

Indian Wells Masters 2021 (7th October)

SCHMIEDLOVA V KONJUH OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

Almost identical win loss records on outdoor hard courts with Schmiedlova 31-19 over her last 50 and Konjuh 33-17 points towards a close match as does their recent win loss of both 6 wins 4 losses.

GARCIA V FLIPKENS OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

Two of the three head to head matches have covered this spread the only match not was when they met on clay which is by far Flipkens worst surface, if Garcia can serve well then she can keep this tight and Flipkens if normally very good if going behind in a match.

SEVASTOVA V HERCOG OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

Sevastova leads the head to head 3-1 but both times they have met on hard courts the spread has been covered in two tight sets and no reason to expect anything different tonight. 

TREVISAN V BOUZKOVA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ 5-6 

Trevisian in better recent form but Bouzkova the better player on hard courts.

ZHENG V FRECH OVER 21.5 GAMES @ 5-6 

Head to head the only time they met was a three set match between two very closely matched players.

Good luck if you follow. 

Wednesday, 6 October 2021

Indian Wells 2021 (7th October)

INDIAN WELLS 

WATSON TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 23-10

Watson although limited does have consistency and I am always happy to oppose Stephens when it is not a Grand Slam 

RUSE TO BEAT CORNET @ 13-10 

Cornet can struggle on hard courts and Ruse has the game to cause her problems here and the odds look the wrong way around 

BRENGLE TO BEAT HSIEH @ 11-10 

Brengle is consistent and steady and although Hsieh has great variation I take the American on home soil to come through due to her consistency here 

KALININA TO BEAT ROGERS @ 5-2 

Shelby Rogers can hit winners from all over the court but she is woefully inconsistent and erratic and Kalinina’s price is far too big here.

Tuesday, 31 August 2021

US Open 2021 (1st September)

US OPEN 2021 - WEDNESDAY

KALININA TO BEAT KERBER @ 10-3 

Kerber sneaked past the youngster in her first match here and looked very uneasy, Kalinina looked good after a shaky first set and only lost 2 more games in taking the final 2 sets and she has the power to cause Kerber problems here. 

RAKHIMOVA TO BEAT ALEXANDROVA @ 5-1 

Rakhimova looked in good form in defeating Mladenovic in three sets here and while she will need to be at her best to defeat her more favoured opponent she does certainly posses the talent to cause her some problems and is too large a price. 

STEPHENS TO BEAT GAUFF @ 23-10 

Stephens done us a good turn by beating Keys in her first match here and she normally does save her best for the Grand Slams, Gauff while extremely talented is still prone to the odd unpredictable match and Stephens great value to use her experience here to cause an upset.

Sunday, 29 August 2021

WOMEN'S US OPEN 2021 (29th August)

WOMEN'S US OPEN 

OUTRIGHT WINNER - Like a lot of the grand Slams this years US Open looks quite an open contest, we have the usual favourites in Barty (Poor Olympics and potential tough opener) Osaka (Mental health issues not sure how competitive she will be) Sabalenka (Poor record in Grand Slams so far) Swiatek (Far happier on clay but could be a threat but too short a price) Pliskova big serve reached Wimbledon final but nerves got the better of her, she is desperate for a Grand Slam title but might be putting too much pressure on herself. Krejcikova, Gauff, Badosa, Bencic next in the betting but all have something to prove - The outright bets I like the look of are below:

Karolina Pliskova 16-1 She has the serve and power to be able to go far providing pressure does not get to her. 

Garbine Muguruza 25-1 Powerful stroke play, lacks variety but that does not matter on these hard courts when she could smash her way through to at least the QF if she can overcome a tough first round draw against Vekic. 

Danielle Collins 40-1 All out attack who can match any player on tour if she is on form, providing she can stay fit she with home support she could cause a bit of an upset.

Victoria Azarenka 50-1 Her issues off court have been well documented but she does have the experience and on her day is still a world class player, with so many issues surrounding the market leaders she is worth chancing at good odds. 

FIRST ROUND MATCHES

Giorgi to beat Halep @ Evens 

Giorgi hits the ball flat, hard and very attacking she can make a lot of unforced errors but if she has a day where things go right then she will be a very tough match up for Halep considering both their recent form which favours Giorgi where she won the Rogers cup.

Golubic to beat Andreescu @ 7-4 

Andreescu has been in poor form and also terrible problems with injury over the last 18months and looked very short of confidence in her recent losses at the Cincinnati open first round to Muchova in straight sets and back home at the Rogers cup she managed only one win before losing to Jabeur. Golubic is a decent price here to cause what some people would see as an upset. 

Konjuh to beat Fernandez @ 4-5 

Konjuh has come through qualifying here without losing a set also reached the SF at San Jose and providing her serve works well then she should prove too much for a player with potential but who looks a little out of form currently in Fernandez. 

Stephens to beat Keys @ Evens 

Stephens regulary ups her game in the Grand Slams and she has a 4-2 win loss record against Keys on hard courts it becomes 2-0 and her athleticism should negate some of Keys powerful groundstrokes and force Keys into playing one more shot which could result in more errors from Keys 

Ruse to beat Vondrousova @ 3-1 

Vondrousova lost the Olympic final and I suspect she may struggle for the rest of the season, Ruse has been in good form coming through qualifying and her price is far too short against an opponent who can sometimes crack during pressure moments.

Thursday, 19 August 2021

WTA CINCINNATI (19th August)

WTA CINCINNATI 

PLISKOVA TO BEAT PEGULA @ EVENS 

Big serving Czech should provide too much power for Pegula if her serve if fit and firing

KVITOVA TO BEAT JABEUR @ 11-10 

Kvitova has become even more unpredictable of late but at these odds she is worth taking a chance as while Jabeur is a consistent and good player she won’t be a match for Kvitova is the former Wimbledon champ can find her form

Monday, 19 July 2021

WTA PALERMO (20th July)

WTA PALERMO 

GERLACH TO BEAT COLLINS @ 8-1 

Collins retired in her semi final match at the weekend against Kailinia with a very heavily strapped arm that looked to be slightly impeding her service arm, she has be taken on here with fitness concerns. 

RAKHIMOVA TO BEAT DANILOVIC @ 11-10 

Both players are decent on clay, but Rakhimova looked in decent form losing last week to eventual finalist Burel and she should prove too strong for Danilovic here.

Monday, 12 July 2021

WTA Budapest (12th July)

WTA BUDAPEST 

Schmiedlova to beat Begu @ 7-4 Bara to beat Errani @ 13-8 Haas to beat Kozlova @ 19-13 Gorgodze to beat Putintseva @ 4-1 

WTA LAUSANNE 

Waltert to beat Diyas @ 15-13 Melnikova to beat Zidansek @ 10-1 

WTA PRAGUE 

Min to beat Stosur @ 13-10 Diatchenko to beat Stojanovic @ 13-8

Sunday, 4 July 2021

WTA WIMBLEDON (July 4th)

WTA WIMBLEDON 

RADUCANU TO BEAT TOMLJANOVIC @ 11-10 

The young British player has played outstanding well so far this tournament, providing she can overcome any nerves then she will have far too much power for Tomljanovic who has played well this week but capitalised on Ostapenko’s renowed weak second serve to sneak through her last match in three. 

KERBER TO BEAT GAUFF @ 11-10 

Former champ Kerber has played herself into some form and although it will be a tough test against the young American her forehand if she can keep it working well can prove to be very dangerous and she is decent value here. 

The remaining games all look good from a trading point of view for in play opportunities but I favour the favourites in them all so combining in a multiple 

Keys 1-2 
Sabalenka 8-15
Swiatek 8-11 
Barty 1-3 
Pliskova Evens 

Keys, Sabalenka and Swiatek should all prove too powerful for their respective opponents although I do think they will likely need three sets or at least two close ones to come through. Pliskova has served exceptionally well and if she carries on like that then she will prove very tough to beat and Barty should have too much for a tired looking Krejcikova 

10.52-1 Betfair

Friday, 2 July 2021

WTA WIMBLEDON MARTINCOVA (2nd July)

WTA WIMBLEDON 

MARTINCOVA + 3.5 GAMES TO BEAT PLISKOVA @ 6-5 

Martincova has been in excellent recent form with a 10-2 win loss record, Pliskova may have too much for her if she serves well but Martincova’s recent form means I am expecting her to keep this close.

JABEUR + 1.5 GAMES TO BEAT MUGURUZA 11-10 

Jabeur has been in excellent form on the surface winning the tournament in Birmingham and winning both her matches here in straight sets. Muguruza has looked in decent form and as a former champ has to be respected but I just give the edge to her in form opponent.

MERTENS V KEYS OVER 22.5 GAMES @ EVENS 

Keys has an impressive record on grass with a 35-15 record, Mertens is the better player with greater variety but Keys has a good serve with powerful groundstrokes, tough to pick a winner.

Sunday, 27 June 2021

WTA WIMBLEDON FREE TRADING TIPS (27th June)

WTA WIMBLEDON 

GARCIA TO BEAT PEGULA @ 21-10 

Garcia has a great serve if it is on a working day and that could make her price look very silly come the end of the match, Pegula never convinced on grass as shown by her 14-14 win loss record compared to Garcia 35-21 

TAUSON TO BEAT KREJIKOVA @ 13-8 

Tauson has the power to be able to unsettle Krejcikova on her least favourite surface 

MINNEN TO BEAT TOMLJANOVIC @13-10 

Minnen’s grass court record reads 12-5 compared to Tomlanovic 25-23 and her recent form is superior too reaching the QF at Nottingham before coming through qualifying here 

VEKIC V POTAPOVA OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 21-20 

Both are in decent form reaching the QF at Birmingham and Potapovabeing a former junior champion here is fine on the surface and Vekic with her serve and groundstrokes is also very capable on this surface, I have backed both outright so cannot pick the winner but do see a tight match.

Sunday, 13 June 2021

WTA BIRMINGHAM 2021 (13th June)

WTA BIRMINGHAM 

POTAPOVA TO BEAT STOJANOVIC @ 11-10 Potapova is a former junior world number one and while not too much can be read into the junior tour results the fact she won junior Wimbledon in 2016 shows that she has a liking for the surface and odds against just seem wrong to me.

BRENGLE TO BEAT KOSTYUK @ 9-4 Brengle is a safe and steady player and should be too consistent for Kostyuk 

Also Wimbledon outright bets below as I think these prices could shorten in the next few days WIMBLEDON OUTRIGHT WINNER 

Petra Kvitova 11-1 Unibet 
Karolina Pliskova 33-1 Unibet 
Donna Vekic 200-1 Unibet 
Anastasia Potapova 400-1 Unibet

Tuesday, 1 June 2021

FRENCH OPEN DAY 3 (2nd June)

FRENCH OPEN DAY 3 TIPS BELOW 

Hercog to beat Garcia @ 7-4 

Both had impressive first round wins but Hercog is the more accomplished player on clay and providing she can make inroads into Garcia’s serve then her odds look very generous 

Tauson to beat Azarenka @ 13-8 

Tauson has the power to unsettle Azarenka and with Azarenka’s ongoing back problem I am more than happy to take a chance on her dangerous young opponent 

Kasatkina to beat Bencic @ 11-10 (NAP) 

Kasatkina is by far the better player on clay and should come through this match

Pavlyuchenkova V Tomljanovic Over 22.5 Games @ 6-5 

Both evenly matched and unpredictable so likely to see three sets here 

Gracheva to beat Giorgi @ 13-10 

Giorgi wonderfully erratic, she rarely plays two points the same let alone a whole match, Gracheva will be the more consistent here and providing she keeps her unforced error count down then she is good value to sneak through. 

Collins V Kalinina Over 22.5 games @ 6-5