Monday, 23 April 2018

WTA ISTANBUL

KRUNIC
WTA ISTANBUL

KRUNIC TO BEAT MAKAROVA @ 11-8

Krunic leads the head to head 1-0 and is the better player on clay as Makarova can really struggle on the surface. 

BUYUKAKCAY TO BEAT SAKKARI @ 5-2

Buyukakcay holds more often and breaks her opponent more regularly than Sakkari and has a win lost record in her home country of 7-3 out her last last 10 matches here and won this tournament in 2016

WTA STUTTGART

STRYCOVA TO BEAT SIEGMUND @ EVENS

Neither player in very good form but Siegmund retired from her last match and couple with the fact that Strycova is the better player overall maker her my selection. 

BERTENS TO BEAT PLISKOVA @ 11-10

Bertens is a natural on clay as her win loss record shows winning Charleston dropping just one set on the way and her record over the last 12 months is 25-5 compared to Pliskova 10-6. Both hold around the 75% mark on clay but Bertens is far more dangerous on return of serve breaking her opponent 10% more often than Pliskova and she is my nap of this round. 

KONTAVEIT TO BEAT MLADENOVIC @ 11-10

Kontaveit breaks more often holds more often and has the better record on clay making her a strong bet at generous odds. 

PAVLUYCHENKOVA TO BEAT KEYS @ 2-1

Both have similar records on clay as neither player would have it as their favoured surface, Pavlyuchenkova is more dangerous on return of serve breaking 5% more often and this swings it in her favour in what should be a tight match.

Sunday, 22 April 2018

WTA ISTANBUL

KHROMACHEVA
WTA ISTANBUL

KHROMACHEVA TO BEAT RUS @ 6-5

Khromacheva leads the head to head 2-0 winning both times they have met on clay and I see no reason to oppose her today, Rus looked poor in her last match when she lost Cadantu in Lugano and her confidence just drained away during that match and provided Khromacheva can start well then I can see the same thing happening again

Wednesday, 11 April 2018

WTA LUGANO

WTA LUGANO

GOLUBIC TO BEAT KOVINIC @ EVENS

VONDROUSOVA TO BEAT MERTENS @ EVENS

Monday, 9 April 2018

Saturday, 7 April 2018

WTA CHARLESTON

SEVASTOVA
WTA CHARLESTON

SEVASTOVA TO BEAT GOERGES @ 21-20

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SEVASTOVA  70.9% 39.3%

GOERGES 74% 31.7%

Goerges leads the head to head 4-3, interestingly if the serve and break percentages are looked at on clay over the last 12 months only then they become more in favour of Sevastova who in fact holds serve more than Goerges and Breaks over 10% more often and considering Goerges has been in great form during this time it shows how good Sevastova has been on clay as well.


BERTENS TO BEAT KEYS @ EVENS 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BERTENS  76.4% 43.9%

KEYS  70.7% 36.3%

Bertens leads the head to head 1-0 winning at the French Open in their only meetings, looking at the stats over the last 2 months Keys record on. Clay is 4 wins 4 losses compared to Bertens 25 Wins to 6 Losses. Bertens looks a huge price here as everything points to her being victorious as she is so much more at home on clay than Keys 

Friday, 6 April 2018

WTA CHARLESTON

PLISKOVA
WTA CHARLESTON 

PLISKOVA TO BEAT SEVASTOVA @ 12-5

Pliskova leads the head to head 1-0 having won on hard court earlier this year, 15-6 against 13-5 are their respective win loss records on clay and although Sevastova is a the better player on dirt this clay is fast clay which should aid Pliskova’s big serve and she could prove tough to break. 

PLISKOVA V SEVASTOVA TO FEATURE A TIE BREAK @ 11-4

WTA MONTERREY 

BABOS TO BEAT PUIG @ 5-4

BABOS V PUIG TO FEATURE A TIE BREAK @ 9-4

Babos has an excellent serve as shown by her hold percentage of over 70% and both players break on average around the 34% mark. Puig all out attacking style and flat groundstrokes are great when she is in form but are very prone to errors and similar to the Pliskova match I think she will struggle to break Babos here.


BOGDAN TO BEAT COLLINS @ 9-4

Collins has been in great form but Bogdan is a very underrated player and has a better hold and break percentage than her opponent on hard courts  over the last 2 years 

Thursday, 5 April 2018

Monterrey Open

FETT TO BEAT RYBRIAKOVA @ 6-4

TSURENKO TO BEAT COLLINS @ EVENS

BLINKOVA TO BEAT TOMLJANOVIC @ 11-10

Wednesday, 4 April 2018

WTA CHARLESTON

WTA Charleston
WTA CHARLESTON

HERCOG TO BEAT CORNET @ 5-4

Cornet leads the head to head 4-1, on clay it is 1-1 and just by looking at their respective records on clay courts matches over the last 12 months tells you everything you need to know Hercog is 38-8 and Cornet is 5-5

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

HERCOG 60.5% 40.6%

CORNET 61.9% 38.9%


STOLLAR TO BEAT KONTA @ 10-3

Konta has never been at ease playing on clay, Stollar is quite happy and this could turn into quite a test for the out of form Konta here, Ideally I was trying to find around + 4.5 games on the handicap market but cannot find it so am taking a chance on an outright win here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

STOLLAR 69.6% 39.6%

KONTA 69% 30.5%


BUZARNESCU TO BEAT ERRANI @ 6-4

Buzarenescu has come alive over the last 12 months and although the majority of her success has been on the ITF circuit, she also reached the final at Hobart this year to show she is playing with such confidence that she can transfer it over to the main tour, she is at home on clay courts and will prove Errani with a stern test here as the Italian is always vulnerable with her serve being so weak

GAVRILOVA TO BEAT GIORGI @ 21-20

Win loss records on clay courts over the last 2 years heavily favour Gavrilova with 20-10 compared to 13-8

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

GAVRILOVA 65.7% 42.7%

GIORGI 66.5% 38.5%


SIEGMUND TO BEAT OSAKA @ 17-10

Although Osaka has been in tremendous form of late she is not a natural on clay, respective results over the last 2 years are Siegmund 36-10  and Osaka 11-9 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SIEGMUND 68.9% 48.3%

OSAKA 65.3% 35.5%

Monday, 26 March 2018

WTA MIAMI

RADWANSKA
WTA MIAMI

RADWANSKA TO BEAT AZARENKA @ 15-8

BARTY TO BEAT SVITOLINA @ 5-2

WILLIAMS TO BEAT KONTA @ 11-8

COLLINS TO BEAT PUIG @ 5-4

Saturday, 24 March 2018

WTA Miami

RADWANSKA
WTA MIAMI 

RADWANSKA TO BEAT HALEP @ 11-4

Head to head is tied 5-5

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE


HALEP 70.4% 46.4%

RADWANSKA 68.6% 43.7%


NICULESCU TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 11-10

Stephens leads the head to head 2-1, Niculescu is far stronger on return of serve nd that could prove to be a pivotal point in this match and also the slower courts will mean Stephens has to put the power on her shots as Niculescu has the most awkward of slices to deal with which has no power on it at all. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE


NICULESCU 60.5% 49.9%

STEPHENS  65.4% 35%


WANG TO BEAT RISKE @ 11-10

Head to head is tied 1-1, Wang is the more powerful player and her groundstrokes and serve should prove too much for Riske here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE


WANG  62.3% 41.9%

RISKE 64.6% 36.5%


MAIA TO BEAT OSTAPENKO @ 6-4

Ostapenko leads the head to head 1-0 winning in three sets, It will come down to Maia’s good serve and Ostapenko’s good return game as to who comes out on top, but Ostapenko will struggle to hold serve as the stats show her serve is the weakest part of her game and allows opponents to put her on the back foot straight away and she is far happier dictating play.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE


OSTAPENKO 56.5% 43.8%

MAIA 66% 31.3%


MERTENS TO BEAT KONTA @ 13-8

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE


MERTENS 67.8% 44.1%

KONTA 78.3% 37.1%



Multiple bet on select matches on the total games market, all look very evenly matched 

KERBER V PAVLYUCHENKOVA OVER 20.5 GAMES @ EVENS
COLLINS V VEKIC OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 11-10
OSTAPENKO V MAIA OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 11-10
MARTIC V BARTY OVER 22.5 GAMES @ EVENS