Tuesday, 14 August 2018

WTA CINCINNATI: KVITOVA TO BEAT WILLIAMS @ 2.24

KVITOVA
WTA CINCINNATI

KVITOVA TO BEAT WILLIAMS @ 2.24

Should be a breathtaking match here, Williams leads the head to head 5-2, Kvitova is all out attacking and one of the few players on tour which could match Williams for power in her pomp, Williams while impressive in her last match here will find this a lot tougher and Kvitova has to be the call here as she has more tennis under her belt and I am still yet to be convinced as to Williams form. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KVITOVA 73.5% 36.1%

WILLIAMS 79.4% 39.4%

TOMLJANOVIC TO BEAT HALEP @ 4.93

Halep comes straight here after winning Montreal and that will be a tough ask as conditions in the final against Stephens were tough and she came through 6-4 in the third set and that will of taken a lot out of her physically and mentally. Tomljanovic has been in excellent form lately with a 7-3 win loss record and has come back to the form she showed a couple of years ago 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

TOMLJANOVIC 59.7% 41.4%

HALEP 69% 45.4%

AZARENKA TO BEAT GARCIA @ 2.160

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

AZARENKA 74% 51.1%

GARCIA 70.9% 33.6%

MLADENOVIC TO BEAT KUZMOVA @ 2.520

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KUZMOVA 72.2% 43.2%

MLADENOVIC 63.5% 32.8%

KRUNIC TO BEAT PAVLYUCHENKOVA @  3.95

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KRUNIC  65.2% 33.9%

PAVLYUCHENKOVA 68.1% 36%



ITF VANCOUVER

ROYG TO BEAT BOUCHARD @ 3.090

The stats are so close for this one and I am shocked to see Royg priced up as she is as even allowing for her poor form of late she is up against an opponent who appears to have totally lost her way and looked shot of all confidence in her last match at Montreal losing in straight sets. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

ROYG 61.1% 38.2%

BOUCHARD 64.2% 34.5%

KALINSKAYA TO BEAT BRENGLE @ 2.48

Brengle is a very steady player who struggles when she comes up against players who can over power, Kalinskaya is a shotmaker if a little unpredictable but if she hits form then she will overpower Brengle

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KALINSKAYA 69% 38.3%

BRENGLE 57% 40.4%

Sunday, 12 August 2018

WTA CINCINNATI: PERA TO BEAT MARTIC @ 2.45

Bernada Pera
WTA CINCINNATI

PERA TO BEAT MARTIC @ 2.45

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

PERA 65.9% 35.1%

MARTIC 66.6% 35.4%


KENIN TO BEAT CORNET @ 2.62

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KENIN 61.8% 33.6%

CORNET 61.1% 42.3%

TOMLJANOVIC TO BEAT CIRSTEA @ 2.0

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

TOMLJANOVIC  59.6% 40.6%

CIRSTEA 60% 39.2%

KIICK TO BEAT VIKHLYANTSEVA @ 2.25

HOLD SERVE BACK SERVE

KIICK 61.3% 44.1%

VIKHLYANTSEVA 65% 34.3%

LAPKO TO BEAT SASNOVICH @ 2.11

HOLD SERVE BACK SERVE

LAPKO 64.6% 38.6%

SASNOVICH 63.9% 38.5%

BOGDAN TO BEAT VEKIC @ 3.58

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BOGDAN 66.9% 41.4%

VEKIC 64.8% 37.7%

KUZMOVA TO BEAT GIORGI @ 2.25

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KUZMOVA 76.3% 38.5%

GIORGI 64.9% 37.2%


GAVRILOVA TO BET WILLIAMS @ 3.3

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

GAVRILOVA 63.9% 39%

WILLIAMS 79.1% 39.1%

SABALENKA TO BEAT KONTA @ 2.98

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SABALENKA 71.9% 38%

KONTA 77% 37.3%


VANDERWEGHE TO BEAT BERTENS @ 2.8

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

VANDERWEGHE 72.9% 26.2%

BERTENS 68.2% 36%

VOUNDROUSOVA TO BEAT BARTY @ 3.88

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

VOUNDROUSOVA 68.2% 41.2%

BARTY 75.5% 35.9%

Saturday, 11 August 2018

HECHINGEN ITF: KORPATSCH TO BEAT SIEGMUND @ 4.05

KORPATSCH
HECHINGEN ITF

KORPATSCH TO BEAT SIEGMUND @ 4.05

Both players in excellent form very much at home on clay, Siegmund is rightly favourite and will be hard to beat but her price is far too short. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

SIEGMUND 68.1% 47.9% 23-12(300-149)

KORPATSCH 56% 49.3% 20-12(112-57)


WTA CINCINNATI

LARSSON TO BEAT PUTINTSEVA @ 2.37

Larsson is a solid all rounder, Putintseva will be very weak on serve and Larsson’s consistency should prove too much here

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

LARSSON 64.6% 34.3% 5-10(112-113)

PUTINTSEVA 60.2% 37.1% 13-17(104-100)


LEPCHENKO TO BEAT VICKERY @ 2.20

Lepchenko leads the head to head 2-0 and has only ever lost 6 games in those meetings so I suggest there is something that Vickery does not like about this match up, possible the flat hitting of her opponent and the fact she has a losing record against left handers

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

LEPCHENKO 66.2% 35.1% 14-11(309-208)

VICKERY 63.5% 43.8% 33-15(125-101)


BOGDAN TO BEAT NICULESCU @ 2.37

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BOGDAN 67% 41.1% 21-12(69-40)

NICULESCU 59.3% 47.8% 21-11(201-143)


NARA TO BEAT TOMLJANOVIC @ 2.62

Nara has a better return of serve and Tomljanovic can be a little one dimensional, she relies on her serve a lot and Nara has a return game that will cause problems for her opponent here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

NARA 59.6% 42.1% 32-21(200-150)

TOMLJANOVIC 59.4% 38.4% 26-14(134-93)


GIBBS TO BEAT CORNET @ 3.40

Gibbs is very consistent if unspectacular but I am happy to go with consistency at these odds against Cornet who is crazily unpredictable  and should never be this short a price 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

CORNET 61% 42% 18-14(158-129)

GIBBS 64.2% 39.7% 19-19(187-124)


BLINKOVA TO BEAT LAPKO @ 2.10
Blinkova has a better record on hard courts, hold serves more often and breaks more regularly so no reason she should not be favourite here. 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BLINKOVA 66.7% 41.9% 18-10(32-14)

LAPKO 65.7% 36.5% 7-9(36-20)


DAVIS TO BEAT MARTIC @ 4.0

Davis is similar to Gibbs in that she is very consistent but does lack power, that consistency could prove too much for Martic who again can be very unpredictable 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

MARTIC 66.5% 34.8% 11-6(103-87)

DAVIS 59.5% 37.4% 5-14(122-102)


KIICK TO BEAT STOSUR @ 2.37

Stosur is going downhill fast as shown by her hold and return percentage this season compared to her career and Kiick is in good form at the minute.

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KIICK 59.1% 44.8% 18-13(76-54)

STOSUR 70.7% 27% 9-13(283-202)


PERA TO BEAT LINETTE @ 2.0

Pera can overpower her opponent here she strikes the ball harder than Linette and I suspect she will overpower her opponent

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

PERA 66% 34.7% 17-13(32-30)

LINETTE 67.2% 35.5% 27-16(112-88)


Thursday, 9 August 2018

WTA MONTREAL: SEVASTOVA TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 2.64

WTA MONTREAL 

SEVASTOVA TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 2.64 

Sevastova been in good form although was a little fortunate to beat Puig saving match points but the way she came on strong in the third set was impressive. Stephens has become a real threat especially in the bigger tournaments where she appears to raise her game but her results since reaching the final of the French Open have been pretty poor and certainly Sevastova in the better form. Head to head is tied 1-1 with Sevastova winning their most recent meeting 

                                           HOLD SERVE                          BREAK SERVE 

SEVASTOVA                      67%                                          38.6% 20-12(130-80) 
STEPHENS                        70%                                          38.2% 23-10(147-101)

Sunday, 5 August 2018

WTA MONTREAL: MCHALE TO BEAT RISKE @ 2.63

Christina McHale
WTA MONTREAL

MCHALE TO BEAT RISKE @ 2.63 

Riske leads the head to head 3-0 but she has had a poor 12 months on hard courts as shown by their respective records. Mchale is ahead on the statistics slightly and has a better record on hard courts as well over the last 12 months and I am quite surprised she is such a bit price as two of those head to heads were back in 2009 and the most recent one was where she retired after losing the first set 6-4 so I think too many people are reading too much into the head to head 

                                   HOLD SERVE                             BREAK SERVE

MCHALE                   64.3%                                          38.4% 20-20(185-150)
RISKE                       63.1%                                          36.6% 10-17(151-131) 


ZHUK TO BEAT PERA @ 2.30 

Almost identical records on service but Zhuk is far more aggressive on return of serve, she beat Stosur in straight sets yesterday as expected and I see no reason why she won’t account for Pera here who is not quite in the same form as she was earlier in the season losing in the first round in three of her last four tournaments

                               HOLD SERVE                                BREAK SERVE 

ZHUK                     65.4%                                             39.4% 20-10(34-21) 
PERA                     66%                                                34.9% 17-12(32-29) 

MARINO TO BEAT WANG @ 3.60

Marino was excellent in winning yesterday, although her return game is limited she served very well and if she continues at this level then Wang may well struggle to make inroads into her service game. Wang received a walkover in the first round here so I am expecting Marino to start fast 

                              HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

MARINO               77.9%                                              36.2% 21-5(95-59) 
WANG                  64.9%                                              41.2% 20-15(235-143) 

ZHAO TO BEAT BERTENS @ 9.0 

Zhao has been in terrible form winning just two of her last ten matches but this could be the ideal match for her, no pressure and abasing a player who despite rising to the top ten in the world still has a horrendous record on hard courts this years record reading 4 wins to 6 losses 

                             HOLD SERVE                                  BREAK SERVE 

ZHAO                   65.7%                                              35.5% 20-14(76-66) 
BERTENS            67.5%                                              35.3% 6-12(74-77) 

OSTAPENKO TO BEAT KONTA @ 2.30 

Konta leads the head to head 2-1, looking at the stats you would have to favour Konta but on closer look at taking the data from the last 12 months shows Konta holding serve 73% and breaking 32% with Ostapenko holding serve 61% and breaking serve 43%. It just shows up the fact that Konta has not had a particularly good season and she has dropped out of the worlds top 30 despite starting it in the top 10 

                           HOLD SERVE                                   BREAK SERVE 

OSTAPENKO     57.1%                                                44.4% 22-12(57-44)
KONTA               77.1%                                                37.1% 12-14(173-91) 

BOUCHARD TO BEAT MERTENS @ 3.0 

Mertens leads the head to head 2-0, Bouchard managed get back on track last month at Gstaad reaching the semi final before pulling out through injury, she has been back to Canada and should be right ready to put on a good performance here. Mertens had a good win over Konta at San Jose then she done us a favour losing to Buzarnescu in three sets and it did surprise me how easily she capitulated in the second and third sets only winning 4 games in total. 

                          HOLD SERVE                                       BREAK SERVE 

BOUCHARD     64.1%                                                    35% 4-9(118-90) 
MERTENS        67.3%                                                    43.5% 24-13(78-43)

Wednesday, 1 August 2018

WTA SAN JOSE: AZARENKA TO BEAT MUGURUZA @ 2.43

AZARENKA TO BEAT MUGURUZA
WTA SAN JOSE 

AZARENKA TO BEAT MUGURUZA @ 2.43 

Azarenka leads the head to head 1-0 having won two tie breaks when they met in Miami in 2016. Both are aggressive players but where Azarenka really stands out is her return game and this will put huge pressure on Muguruza here as shown by the return statistics. Muguruza has not played since a poor Wimbledon but Azarenka came through albeit a struggle against Bondarenko in three tight sets so for me she has the advantage, she has not played a lot of tennis due to a custody battle with her child but will be looking to make the American hard court swing count as she can play 

                                          HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

MUGURUZA                     72.9%                                              40.3% 29-12(140-74) 
 AZARENKA                     73.8%                                               51.9% 7-2(282-94) 

WTA WASHINGTON 

BOGDAN TO BEAT KUZNETSOVA @ 2.63 

Kuznetsova beat Ahn easily dropping just 3 games but it was more about Ahn totally hopeless performance than Kuznetsova playing lights out tennis and she still does not convince me that she is a great form and this will be. A big test for her. Bogdan done us a nice favour by beating Makarova who still flatters to deceive, she playing good solid tennis and if she can perform to that same level here then she will make this a very tight encounter and 2.63 is far too big a price 

                                        HOLD SERVE                                    BREAK SERVE 

KUZNETSOVA                66.7%                                                 42.1% 4-7(314-161) BOGDAN                        67.3%                                                 39.3% 19-11(67-38) 

STOLLAR TO BEAT VEKIC @ 3.70 

I am going for a bit of a left field pick here based mainly on potential which can be dangerous but the odds are just too generous. Stollar is a player of great potential and she is working her way back up the rankings after injury, she came through her first match here in straights sets. Vekic is another player who was highly touted as being the next big thing but she lost her way for a couple of season after a breakthrough when she was 16 but now she is looking more confident, she beat our pick Dolehide in straight sets. Both have good serve but Stollar despite the stats does have the better return game with variation and this is the area I think she can exploit tonight as vekic is very much an up and down hit it kind of player without too much variety and although her serve is her main weapon if opponents get water it then she can struggle to break back. Odds are far too generous on Stollar here 

                                     HOLD SERVE                                         BREAK SERVE

STOLLAR                    65.4%                                                       36.6% 13-11(28-24)  

VEKIC 64.8% 38.5% 13-12(129-82)

Sunday, 29 July 2018

WTA SAN JOSE 2018: LAPKO TO BEAT ZHANG @ 2.21

Vera Lapko
WTA SAN JOSE

LAPKO TO BEAT ZHANG @ 2.21 

Zhang looked shaky last week in Nanchang winning a couple of matches before losing to Zhu. Lapko has not played since Wimbledon but looking at the stats she has every chance of an upset here considering Zhang’s poor current form. 


                                     HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

LAPKO                        69.3%                                         46.4% 14-8(35-18) 
ZHANG                       67.5%                                         41.8% 31-14(315-186) 

WTA WASHINGTON 

SWAN TO BEAT ZHENG @ 2.89 

Swan had some good results on the ITF circuit on hard courts leading up to the grass court swing where she won Monzon and reached the semi final at Del Valles. Zheng will be contesting the final at niching on Sunday so wont be arriving until late here and that does not give her much time to prepare against a promising opponent I have to go against her. 

                                  HOLD SERVE                              BREAK SERVE

SWAN                       68.4%                                           34.5% 16-7(33-21) 
ZHENG                     61.7%                                           45.2% 25-5(176-118) 

BOULTER TO BEAT KRUNIC @ 2.97 

The stats are very close on this one. Boulter has had a break thought season rising in the ranking from 260 down to her current ranking of 117. In a coin toss of a match I am going to favour the younger player who I believe is still improving and currently a generous price 

                                 HOLD SERVE                              BREAK SERVE 

BOULTER               66.4%                                            34.5% 10-14(40-32) 
KRUNIC                  65.9%                                            34.3% 16-11(92-69)

PERA TO BEAT OSAKA @ 3.940 

Pera had a golden spell a few weeks ago on the clay and although that is the surface where she has had her best results she can play on hard courts as shown by her run to last 16 in the Australian Open where she was hitting the ball ferociously hard. Osaka has an excellent serve and that is her main weapon, if it is working well then she can be very hard to break but if it is slightly off then she can rattle up double faults galore and get very upset with herself, Pera will attack that serve when she gets the opportunity. 

                               HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

PERA                     68.2%                                              33.1% 16-11(31-28)
OSAKA                  73.9%                                              35.3% 24-13(102-66)

BOGDAN TO BEAT MAKAROVA @ 3.26 

Bogdan is a player I really like, she plays well on hard courts has good variation, good power and excellent movement she does not really have any major weakness. Makarova has all the ability but lacks belief badly and always has done and that is what stopped her from reaching her full potential in my opinion. Bogdan has an impressive return game and if Makarova struggles on serve then her confidence is likely to drain away fairly quickly. 

                              HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE

BOGDAN              67.5%                                              41.1% 18-11(66-38) 
MAKAROVA         69.7%                                              35.8% 20-11(197-142) 

ROGOWSKA TO BEAT LINETTE @ 4.47 

Rogowksa has not been in good form but looking at the stats she actually is far more aggressive on her service returns and Linette can struggle on her service games. I could not have got Linette more wrong last week but I don’t fancy her going far in this tournament and happy to take her on here 

                            HOLD SERVE                                  BREAK SERVE 

ROGOWSKA      65.2%                                               40% 29-15(257-171)
LINETTE            66.6%                                                35.5% 25-17(110-87) 

AHN TO BEAT KUZNETSOVA @ 2.9

Kuznetsova has been atrocious this season winning only three of her last ten matches and looked totally shot of any confidence with 7 first round losses this season. Ahn similar to Loeb has been consistent if not spectacular o the ITF circuit and abasing an out of form opponent her price is far too big here. 

                           HOLD SERVE                                  BREAK SERVE 

AHN                   61.6%                                                41.6% 17-17(126-85)
KUZNETSOVA  66.7%                                                39.6% 3-7(313-161) 

LOEB TO BEAT PETKOVIC @ 2.810 

Petkovic has been awful this season only reaching one semi final when she dropped down to the ITF tour. Loeb has been consistent if unspectacular on the ITF circuit reaching last 16 and Quarter finals. I am going to take her consistency to come out on top here 

                          HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

LOEB                65.4%                                              39.8% 19-15(95-61) 
PETKOVIC       61%                                                 40.6% 15-13(152-120)

DOLEHIDE TO BEAT VEKIC @ 2.70 

Both players have been in decent form although Vekic’s was on grass which has always been one of her better surfaces, considering her game she has struggled on hard courts as shown by her win loss record. Dolehide reached the quarter final at Ashland last week before withdrawing. She holds serve more and breaks with greater frequency both have identical win loss records on hard court this season but I have to take Dolehide to win on a surface that Vekic is not at her best on. 

                          HOLD SERVE                                BREAK SERVE 

DOLEHIDE        71.5%                                            38.1% 12-12(50-29) 
VEKIC               64.4%                                            38.6% 12-12(128-82)