Saturday 29 December 2018

WTA BRISBANE: VEKIC TO BEAT RYBRIAKOVA @ 1.75


WTA BRISBANE 

VEKIC TO BEAT RYBRIAKOVA @ 1.75 

Vekic leads the head to head 2-1, She finished the season strongly in comparison to Rybriakova who did not win a competitive match after New Haven in August resulting in 5 straight first-round losses. I have to take Vekic here as last season she looked like she was coming back into form and if she carries that on then she could still become the player we thought she would become when she burst onto the scene. 

                                          HOLD SERVE                         BREAK SERVE 

VEKIC                               64.8%                                      38.3% 
RYBRIAKOVA                   61.2%                                      30.3% 

MERTENS TO BEAT BERTENS @ 1.91 

Mertens leads the head to head 2-0, Bertens had a magnificent season last year and managed to transfer her clay court form onto hard courts which surprised me, I still feel she looks a little vulnerable on hard courts and against Mertens here I think that vulnerability could be exposed as she has won both their head to head meetings on hard courts and while Bertens has improved I just think Mertens will prove too strong here with her recent matches in Hawaii proving the advantage. 

                                             HOLD SERVE                       BREAK SERVE 

MERTENS                           68.8%                                    40.8% 
BERTENS                            68.4%                                   44.2% 

KONTA TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 2.30 

Konta had a disappointing year last year but she will be looking to bounce back here and I fancy her strongly to beat Stephens who can be a little erratic outside of the Grand Slams to say the least, Konta’s serve is still one of the best of the circuit and providing that is working well then Stephens could struggle to make inroads here. 

                                            HOLD SERVE                       BREAK SERVE 

KONTA                               73.6%                                     34.7% 
STEPHENS                        68%                                        45.5% 

BUZARNESCU TO BEAT TSURENKO @ 1.73 

Buzarnescu leads the head to head 2-0, Buzarnescu had a great season last year and will be looking at continuing playing with the confidence she displayed, Tsurenko as always has fitness doubts and while she is a class player I just fancy Buzarnescu flat hitting to come through here. 

                                             HOLD SERVE                       BREAK SERVE 

BUZARNESCU                    65.3%                                    39.8% 
TSURENKO                         64.1%                                   47.4% 

WTA AUCKLAND 

PANOVA TO BEAT ESPINOSA @ 2.38 

Espinosa is not at home on hard courts as she is a real clay court specialist, Panova has a good serve and I can see Espinosa struggling to make inroads with her return game and equally Espinosa lacks the power on these courts and Panova could hit through her here. 

                                            HOLD SERVE                        BREAK SERVE 

PANOVA                              71.3%                                     28.7% 
ESPINOSA                          61.3%                                     29.6% 

WTA SHENZEN

HIBINO TO BEAT NICULESCU @ 2.20 

Niculescu won their only meeting in a third set tie-break, both won their matches impressively yesterday. Their respective hard court win-loss records are Niculescu 19-14 compared to Hibino 33-22, I have to oppose Niculescu here as she has lost 5 of her last 6 matches she has been favourite in and Hibino will provide a stern test for her tonight. 

                                            HOLD SERVE                       BREAK SERVE 

HIBINO                                66%                                      40.8% 
NICULESCU                        61.7%                                  51.2% 

KALININA TO BEAT JOROVIC @ 2.63 

Kalinina won their only meeting back in 2014 in a tight three-set match but I don’t feel that will have much bearing on this contest as it was over 4 years ago,I just believe she is the better player of the two and although it will be close to being getting these odds on a match that I believe is almost a coin toss then it is tremendous value. 

                                          HOLD SERVE                        BREAK SERVE 

KALININA                         63.8%                                      47.9% 
JOROVIC                         66.7%                                      38.9% 

KUDERMETOVA TO BEAT BLINKOVA @ 2.50 

Kudermetova leads the head to head 1-0, stats are almost identical so similar to the above match the prices of these two should be far closer than this so I am happy to take Kudermetova here at value odds 

                                         HOLD SERVE                            BREAK SERVE 

Kudermetova                    62.8%                                         44.8% 
Blinkova                            62%                                            41.4%

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