Sunday, 5 August 2018

WTA MONTREAL: MCHALE TO BEAT RISKE @ 2.63

Christina McHale
WTA MONTREAL

MCHALE TO BEAT RISKE @ 2.63 

Riske leads the head to head 3-0 but she has had a poor 12 months on hard courts as shown by their respective records. Mchale is ahead on the statistics slightly and has a better record on hard courts as well over the last 12 months and I am quite surprised she is such a bit price as two of those head to heads were back in 2009 and the most recent one was where she retired after losing the first set 6-4 so I think too many people are reading too much into the head to head 

                                   HOLD SERVE                             BREAK SERVE

MCHALE                   64.3%                                          38.4% 20-20(185-150)
RISKE                       63.1%                                          36.6% 10-17(151-131) 


ZHUK TO BEAT PERA @ 2.30 

Almost identical records on service but Zhuk is far more aggressive on return of serve, she beat Stosur in straight sets yesterday as expected and I see no reason why she won’t account for Pera here who is not quite in the same form as she was earlier in the season losing in the first round in three of her last four tournaments

                               HOLD SERVE                                BREAK SERVE 

ZHUK                     65.4%                                             39.4% 20-10(34-21) 
PERA                     66%                                                34.9% 17-12(32-29) 

MARINO TO BEAT WANG @ 3.60

Marino was excellent in winning yesterday, although her return game is limited she served very well and if she continues at this level then Wang may well struggle to make inroads into her service game. Wang received a walkover in the first round here so I am expecting Marino to start fast 

                              HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

MARINO               77.9%                                              36.2% 21-5(95-59) 
WANG                  64.9%                                              41.2% 20-15(235-143) 

ZHAO TO BEAT BERTENS @ 9.0 

Zhao has been in terrible form winning just two of her last ten matches but this could be the ideal match for her, no pressure and abasing a player who despite rising to the top ten in the world still has a horrendous record on hard courts this years record reading 4 wins to 6 losses 

                             HOLD SERVE                                  BREAK SERVE 

ZHAO                   65.7%                                              35.5% 20-14(76-66) 
BERTENS            67.5%                                              35.3% 6-12(74-77) 

OSTAPENKO TO BEAT KONTA @ 2.30 

Konta leads the head to head 2-1, looking at the stats you would have to favour Konta but on closer look at taking the data from the last 12 months shows Konta holding serve 73% and breaking 32% with Ostapenko holding serve 61% and breaking serve 43%. It just shows up the fact that Konta has not had a particularly good season and she has dropped out of the worlds top 30 despite starting it in the top 10 

                           HOLD SERVE                                   BREAK SERVE 

OSTAPENKO     57.1%                                                44.4% 22-12(57-44)
KONTA               77.1%                                                37.1% 12-14(173-91) 

BOUCHARD TO BEAT MERTENS @ 3.0 

Mertens leads the head to head 2-0, Bouchard managed get back on track last month at Gstaad reaching the semi final before pulling out through injury, she has been back to Canada and should be right ready to put on a good performance here. Mertens had a good win over Konta at San Jose then she done us a favour losing to Buzarnescu in three sets and it did surprise me how easily she capitulated in the second and third sets only winning 4 games in total. 

                          HOLD SERVE                                       BREAK SERVE 

BOUCHARD     64.1%                                                    35% 4-9(118-90) 
MERTENS        67.3%                                                    43.5% 24-13(78-43)

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