Tuesday, 10 July 2018

WTA Wimbledon Tuesday: BERTENS TO BEAT GOERGES @ EVENS

Kiki Bertens
Wimbledon 2018 - 


BERTENS TO BEAT GOERGES @ EVENS

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

BERTENS 69.3% 37.9%

GOERGES 80.9% 32.7%

Bertens leads the head to head 2-0 although both were on clay which is her best surface by far. Neither player in the past would put down grass as their favourite surface with their respective win loss records throughout their career standing at Goerges 19-18 and Bertens 11-14 but looking at the stats over the last 12 months revels both players are in fact playing with such confidence that both have adapted to grass quite well with Goerges 6-2 Bertens 5-2. Goerges has had a far easier route here only playing one player ranked inside the top 50 in the world Strycova and she managed to win that match 8-6 in the third set. Bertens has beaten two top  10 ranked opponents so far in Venus Williams 8-6 in the 3rd set and that seems to have given her so much confidence that she beat a lot of peoples favourite for the title Karolina Plskova in straight sets on Monday. Given the recent form of both these two then I have to side with Bertens who has more variation to her game and stronger return of serve which I think could prove telling in this match up. 


BUDAPEST ITF 

CADANTU TO BEAT RYBAKINA @ 11-10

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

RYBAKINA  63.5% 37.2%

CADANTU 50.3% 51.1%

Respective win loss records on clay reads Rybakina 11-7 (6-6 over 12 months) Cadantu 179-124 (15-12 over 12 months) Neither player has been in great form but Cadantu is a real streetfighter, she annoys opponents,  tries to put them off and just generally becomes a pest on court. Rybankina while having potential is very inexperienced on clay and coming up against Cadantu here is a very difficult ask even if she is not in great form. Cadantu’s aggressive return game will put the youngster under pressure and I have Cadantus priced up a shade of odds on so will happily take the 11-10 on offer.


DULGHERU TO BEAT YASTREMSKA @ 12-5

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

DULGHERU  60.% 50.9%

YASTREMSKA 66.3% 40.1%

Dulgheru leads the head to head 1-0 having won earlier this year in straight sets on hard court. Both these two have been in dense form, Dulgheru reaching the last 64 at Wimbledon managing to win 4 matches before losing to Venus Williams in three sets, Yastremska won Rome impressively last week not dropping a set but to put it into context she did not play an opponent ranked in the world top 200 as it was a very weak field. I feel the bookmakers have priced up as a little bit a of a reaction to this as well as her potential. Both players have good records on clay with Dulgheru 27-11 and Yastremska 23-6 over the last 12 months, while I do make Yastremska favourite here I certainly do not make her the heavy odds on favourite she is and Dulgheru at 12-5 is way overpriced.

JAKUPOVIC TO BEAT JABEUR @ 11-10

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

JAKUPOVIC 60.9% 44.5%

JABEUR 67.4% 37.1%

Jabeur leads the head to head 3-0, respective win loss records on clay Jabeur 82-40 (6-7) Jakupovic 109-91 (16-10) Jakupovic has been in good form recently on grass, reaching the Quarter Finals at both Birmingham and Nottingham Jabeur has also had impressive results on the grass but hers were on the circuit and not the main tour when she only beat one player ranked inside the worlds top 200, Jakupovic meanwhile defeated 4 players ranked inside the worlds top 100 including two top 20 players. 

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