Monday, 9 July 2018

MONDAY WIMBLEDON 2018: GIORGI TO BEAT MAKAROVA @ 11-10

GIORGI
MONDAY WIMBLEDON

GIORGI TO BEAT MAKAROVA @ 11-10 

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

GIORGI 72% 33.8%

MAKAROVA 70.1% 27.6%

Both of them are happy on grass, Makarova has a win loss record 53-28 compared to Giorgi’s 42-21 record. So far both of them have been impressive in beating opponents ranked higher than themselves but where I think this match will be won and lost is the return of serve, Giorgi has an explosive game and she tends to play all out attack which when it fires becomes very difficult to play against and I think this will unsettle Makarova today who despite having a lot of talent does also have a severe lack of self belief. 


VEKIC TO BEAT GOERGES @ 11-10

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

VEKIC  74.9% 30.8%

GOERGES 79.9% 32%

Goerges leads the head to head 1-0 winning on clay in straight sets back in 2015. Vekic is finally starting to fulfil on her promise that she showed as a 17 year old and she feels very much at home here having been based here for some time. Vekic has been mightly impressive so far this week not dropping a set in coming through her 3 matches. Goerges has had a tougher route to get here a tight two set match over Puig followed by a three setter against Lapko and then a marathon 3 setter against Strycova that she won 10-8 in the decider. Win loss records on grass are 18-18 for Goerges compared to Vekic 23-17 and similar to the Giorgi match then I think these odds are the wrong way round. 

BENCIC + 4 GAMES TO BEAT KERBER @ 6-5

HOLD SERVE BREAK SERVE

KERBER 76.7% 39.7%

BENCIC 73.7% 34.3%

Bencic leads the head to head 3-1 although they have yet to meet on grass, Three years ago Bencic was the brightest young player on the circuit and touted as a future Wimbledon champion due to her comfort on grass but since then injuries and a loss of confidence have hampered her rise but this season she is returning to show some of that potential. Win loss records for them both on grass is impressive Bencic 35-15 Kerber 61-25. So far at Wimbledon both have been quite impressive but more so bench as she has overcome Garcia with her fantastic serve and then grass specialist Riske before defeating top 30 Navarro yesterday. Kerber came through a tough match against Zvonareva in the first round then a three setter against Lui where she looked in trouble but as Kerber does so many times she found a way to win then against Osaka she was comfortable against an opponent who lacked belief she could trouble her. Taking the head to head into account, Bencic is the underdog so can play without too much pressure and her ability on grass means I am leaning towards a tight encounter with Kerber’s exceptional defensive skills and determination just getting her through in the end but Bencic with the 4 game handicap start is my bet.

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