Australian Open Day 3

POTAPOVA TO BEAT KEYS @ 4.0 

Keys has an impressive record here for consistency, her main weapon is her serve but Potapova has a good return game which should be able to put pressure on and Keys can be weak on her return game and Potapova has a good service so a tie break is not out of the question. Odds of 4.0 are far too big for Potapova who is playing very well. 

                                     

                                         
                                         HOLD SERVE                    BREAK SERVE 

POTAPOVA                      68%                                   39.4% 
KEYS                               77.3%                                 32% 

SWIATEK TO BEAT GIORGI @ 3.2 

Swiatek has too bigger odds here considering how high she is on confidence currently against a very unpredictable opponent who can play lights out tennis sometimes but if her radar is off slightly then her unforced error count can be horrendous. 

                                        HOLD SERVE                     BREAK SERVE 

SWIATEK                        78.6%                                  32.1% 
GIORGI                           70%                                     39.1% 

BOUCHARD TO BEAT WILLIAMS @ 5.5 

Williams leads the head to head 2-1 although they have not met since 2015, Bouchard is slowly coming back into form and Williams although impressive in beating Maria, in reality, it was expected as she was never going to trouble Williams and we did not really learn anything new from that game, more impressive was Bouchard losing just 3 games to Peng in what was expected to be a close contest and she looked in excellent form. Bouchard won’t be intimidated here and I was tempted to look at the handicap but instead feel it will go one of two ways, either Williams destroys her or what is more likely in my opinion it becomes a close match and Bouchard sneaks it. 

                                      HOLD SERVE                        BREAK SERVE 

BOUCHARD                 64.6%                                     42.7% 
WILLIAMS                    75.5%                                     39.1% 

VIKHLYANTSEVA TO BEAT BACSINSKY @ 2.75 

Vikhlyantseva has come through qualifying, Bacsinszky was very impressive in beating Kasatkina in her first match here but she has struggled for consistency since her return to the tour and I just feel she may struggle on serve here as you can see from the stats here it is something she has struggled with over the last 12 months and Vikhlyantseva playing with confidence will be a handful here. 

                                     HOLD SERVE                      BREAK SERVE 

VIKHLYANTSEVA        67%                                       32% 
BACSINSZKY              57.5%                                    33.8% 

ZIDANSEK TO BEAT OSAKA @ 7.5 

Bit of a left-field pick here but Zidansek’s record on hard court 46-19 over the last 12 months is impressive even though it was mainly on the ITF tour. Osaka since winning the US Open struggled and I am happy to oppose here at short odds until she can show the true consistency in her game and back up that US Open wins with a run deep into another Grand Slam. 

                                   HOLD SERVE                       BREAK SERVE 

ZIDANSEK                 61.2%                                    44.4% 
OSAKA                       76.9%                                    40.1%