Sunday, 26 August 2018

US OPEN: JAKUPOVIC TO BEAT TEICHMANN @ 2.31

JAKUPOVIC
US OPEN 

JAKUPOVIC TO BEAT TEICHMANN @ 2.31 

Teichmann is more at home on clay and while Jakupovic is no star I think the difference here will be her return game which is going to make holding serve forTeichmann very difficult as she does have a weak serve anyway. 

                                     
                                       HOLD SERVE                         BREAK SERVE 

JAKUPOVIC                   64.9%                                       39.7% 
TEICHMANN                  63.6%                                       32.9% 

KUZNETSOVA TO BEAT WILLIAMS @ 2.10 

This will be a very close match, both these veterans can still turn it on just to as often as they used to, as you can see from the stats Williams is just ahead in both categories but Kuznetsova is the player who can raise her level for the big matches and as is well known Venus with her medical issues can fall through the floor during anytime so in a very close match up there are more positives to Kuznetsova at over Evens 

                                       HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

KUZNETSOVA               68.1%                                        39.1% 
WILLIAMS                      69.5%                                        41.1% 

HERCOG TO BEAT LIU @ 2.12 

Both players are happier on clay but Hercog does the have game to transfer over to hard courts as she has greater power in her shots and a far better serve and if she can sort of her physical issues then she could surprise a few here this week. 

                                     HOLD SERVE                             BREAK SERVE 

HERCOG                     66.9%                                          31.1%
LIU                               55.1%                                          44% 

SASNOVICH TO BEAT BENCIC @ 2.0 

Sansovich has been in great form and reached the last 16 at New Haven, is 7-3 from her last 10 matches and 23-12 over the season on hard courts compared to Bencic’s 5-5 and 19-7. Bencic is such a good player but she lacks maturity as was shown in her defeat to Sabalenka who played well but the way Bencic fell apart and appeared to lack ideas was identical of how she was a couple of seasons back after breaking through and against an opponent in great form she will struggle if she has that same mindset here. 

                                    HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

SASNOVICH               63.7%                                        38.7% 
BENCIC                      68.5%                                         35.3% 

COLLINS TO BEAT SABALENKA @ 3.80 

People now are starting to take notice of Sabalenka so the value might vanish from her for a while after her New Haven title win, She has played a huge number of matches and admitted to feeling tired in last week exertions and against Danielle Collins that won't be a good thing, Collins 41-18 compared to Sabalenka’s 32-13 win-loss record this season shows just how good these two youngsters are. Collins reached the SF at San Jose before falling first round in both tourneys since but I just feel she will be fresher than Sabalenka who despite having the huge power she can still be erratic and her price is too tight here. 

                                 HOLD SERVE                               BREAK SERVE 

COLLINS                 63.6%                                             37% 
SABALENKA           73.3%                                             36.7% 

ZIDANSEK TO BEAT MLADENOVIC @ 2.66 

Maldenovic has not been playing well of late with first-round losses in Cincy, New Haven and Montreal and San Jose. Zidansek is more a clay court player but her results this year have been excellent on all surfaces as shown by her win-loss record on hard over the last 12 months of 1606 compared to her opponents 6-19 

                                HOLD SERVE                               BREAK SERVE 

ZIDANSEK               54.5%                                           40.3% 
MLADENOVIC         63.6%                                           33.1% 

PERA TO BEAT PUTINTSEVA @ 2.02 

Pera’s serve is a big difference here as Puntintseva really can struggle on serve and Pera I suspect will be able to overpower her opponent in this matchup 

                               HOLD SERVE                              BREAK SERVE 

PERA                     65.6%                                           34% 
PUTINTSEVA        59.6%                                           37.3% 

RUS TO BEAT CIBULKOVA @ 3.80 

Rus has come through qualifying here and Cibulkova looked very poor in her defeat last week to Goerges where she only won 4 matches, Rus has a terrific serve and that should keep her competitive in a match where her opponent looks very much out of form. 

                               HOLD SERVE                             BREAK SEVE 

RUS                        70.3%                                          38.7% 
CIBULKOVA           62.4%                                          39.3% 

GIBBS TO BEAT NAVARRO @ 3.70 

Navarro reached the final but looking in detail it was hard for her no too as she one opponent withdrew and two others retired in the first set!! So, in fact, she only completed two matches at the tournament and lost one of those so don’t read too much into the fact she was a finalist last week. Gibbs is consistent but similar to Riske she can struggle against the power players, Navarro does not have that power so this could turn into a bit of a long match with neither player having the power to hit through the other and I will side with the consistency of Gibbs causing an upset. 

                             HOLD SERVE                             BREAK SERVE 

GIBBS                  63.9%                                          40.2% 
NAVARRO            66.1%                                          36.4% 

RISKE TO BEAT CIRSTEA @ 2.0

Cirstea leads the head to head 3-2, her all-out attacking game can work for matches but very rarely does it come off for the whole tournament which means Cirtea can get the odd good result but struggles for consistency. Riske, on the other hand, is very consistent if very unspectacular, she does not have the game to match the power players who can hit through her but against the likes of Cirstea her consistency and defence will put Cirstea under severe pressure to hit winners which should lead to a lot of unforced errors. 

                             HOLD SERVE                            BREAK SERVE 

RISKE                 63.6%                                          35.7% 
CIRSTEA            59.5%                                          38.9% 

KALINSKAYA TO BEAT GOERGES @ 4.2 

While Goerges is rightly the favourite here, Kalinskaya is a very promising player who is quite capable of causing an upset with her very aggressive return game capable of causing problems for Goerges on serve. 

                            HOLD SERVE                            BREAK SERVE 

KALINSKAYA      70%                                           43.3% 
GOERGES         77.2%                                         29.3% 

OUTRIGHT ELENA SVITOLINA 21 - She has won 5 titles so far this season and looked every inch a top class player and now I am taking her to finally transfer that form into the Grand Slam arena 

SIMONA HALEP 9 - Top seed and world number 1, finally won her maiden Grand Slam title at Roland Garros this year and has looked in excellent form on the North American hard courts winning the title Montreal and reaching the final in Cincinnati, my only reservation is she pulled out of last weeks tournaments citing an injury(Achilles) but I presume this is a precaution and I can see her going deep in the tournament 

DARIA KASATKINA 34 - Supremely talented and most peoples choice to be a future Grand slam and world number 1, has all the ability in the world and no real weakness to her game the only thing she lacks is maturity but if she hits form here then this will look a decent price as she reached the QF at both Roland Garros and Wimbledon

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