Sunday, 29 July 2018

WTA SAN JOSE 2018: LAPKO TO BEAT ZHANG @ 2.21

Vera Lapko
WTA SAN JOSE

LAPKO TO BEAT ZHANG @ 2.21 

Zhang looked shaky last week in Nanchang winning a couple of matches before losing to Zhu. Lapko has not played since Wimbledon but looking at the stats she has every chance of an upset here considering Zhang’s poor current form. 


                                     HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

LAPKO                        69.3%                                         46.4% 14-8(35-18) 
ZHANG                       67.5%                                         41.8% 31-14(315-186) 

WTA WASHINGTON 

SWAN TO BEAT ZHENG @ 2.89 

Swan had some good results on the ITF circuit on hard courts leading up to the grass court swing where she won Monzon and reached the semi final at Del Valles. Zheng will be contesting the final at niching on Sunday so wont be arriving until late here and that does not give her much time to prepare against a promising opponent I have to go against her. 

                                  HOLD SERVE                              BREAK SERVE

SWAN                       68.4%                                           34.5% 16-7(33-21) 
ZHENG                     61.7%                                           45.2% 25-5(176-118) 

BOULTER TO BEAT KRUNIC @ 2.97 

The stats are very close on this one. Boulter has had a break thought season rising in the ranking from 260 down to her current ranking of 117. In a coin toss of a match I am going to favour the younger player who I believe is still improving and currently a generous price 

                                 HOLD SERVE                              BREAK SERVE 

BOULTER               66.4%                                            34.5% 10-14(40-32) 
KRUNIC                  65.9%                                            34.3% 16-11(92-69)

PERA TO BEAT OSAKA @ 3.940 

Pera had a golden spell a few weeks ago on the clay and although that is the surface where she has had her best results she can play on hard courts as shown by her run to last 16 in the Australian Open where she was hitting the ball ferociously hard. Osaka has an excellent serve and that is her main weapon, if it is working well then she can be very hard to break but if it is slightly off then she can rattle up double faults galore and get very upset with herself, Pera will attack that serve when she gets the opportunity. 

                               HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

PERA                     68.2%                                              33.1% 16-11(31-28)
OSAKA                  73.9%                                              35.3% 24-13(102-66)

BOGDAN TO BEAT MAKAROVA @ 3.26 

Bogdan is a player I really like, she plays well on hard courts has good variation, good power and excellent movement she does not really have any major weakness. Makarova has all the ability but lacks belief badly and always has done and that is what stopped her from reaching her full potential in my opinion. Bogdan has an impressive return game and if Makarova struggles on serve then her confidence is likely to drain away fairly quickly. 

                              HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE

BOGDAN              67.5%                                              41.1% 18-11(66-38) 
MAKAROVA         69.7%                                              35.8% 20-11(197-142) 

ROGOWSKA TO BEAT LINETTE @ 4.47 

Rogowksa has not been in good form but looking at the stats she actually is far more aggressive on her service returns and Linette can struggle on her service games. I could not have got Linette more wrong last week but I don’t fancy her going far in this tournament and happy to take her on here 

                            HOLD SERVE                                  BREAK SERVE 

ROGOWSKA      65.2%                                               40% 29-15(257-171)
LINETTE            66.6%                                                35.5% 25-17(110-87) 

AHN TO BEAT KUZNETSOVA @ 2.9

Kuznetsova has been atrocious this season winning only three of her last ten matches and looked totally shot of any confidence with 7 first round losses this season. Ahn similar to Loeb has been consistent if not spectacular o the ITF circuit and abasing an out of form opponent her price is far too big here. 

                           HOLD SERVE                                  BREAK SERVE 

AHN                   61.6%                                                41.6% 17-17(126-85)
KUZNETSOVA  66.7%                                                39.6% 3-7(313-161) 

LOEB TO BEAT PETKOVIC @ 2.810 

Petkovic has been awful this season only reaching one semi final when she dropped down to the ITF tour. Loeb has been consistent if unspectacular on the ITF circuit reaching last 16 and Quarter finals. I am going to take her consistency to come out on top here 

                          HOLD SERVE                                 BREAK SERVE 

LOEB                65.4%                                              39.8% 19-15(95-61) 
PETKOVIC       61%                                                 40.6% 15-13(152-120)

DOLEHIDE TO BEAT VEKIC @ 2.70 

Both players have been in decent form although Vekic’s was on grass which has always been one of her better surfaces, considering her game she has struggled on hard courts as shown by her win loss record. Dolehide reached the quarter final at Ashland last week before withdrawing. She holds serve more and breaks with greater frequency both have identical win loss records on hard court this season but I have to take Dolehide to win on a surface that Vekic is not at her best on. 

                          HOLD SERVE                                BREAK SERVE 

DOLEHIDE        71.5%                                            38.1% 12-12(50-29) 
VEKIC               64.4%                                            38.6% 12-12(128-82)

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