Hard court stats over 1-year favour Gauff but Andreescu has had fitness problems so looking at 2 years 19-11 plays 36-21 Gauff holds serve more but does have a weaker second serve Andreescu could be good to back if serving to stay in set 80% success Gauff serving for a set around 80% Andreescu wins the first set but does not complete the job in two very often - 3 sets very likely Gauff is good if winning the second set so lay set winner providing stats back it up looks like a decent play
Keys leads h2h 7-1 6 of those wins have been in straight sets on hard courts, identical 22-10 win loss records on hard courts over the last 12 months, Keys better on all serves, Kasatkina weak second serves, Kasatkina vulnerable on serve at the start of the match, Keys decent serving for set nearly 80% same with staying in the set Kasatkina 100% record if winning first set but Keys decent record nearly 50% of winning the second set if loses first set. Favour Keys to start well so potential lay of Kasatkina especially if she serves first. Lay Kasatkina if she wins the first set look to leave profit on Kasatkina if Keys wins the second set. Keys power game causes Kasatkina problems on fast courts although Keys’ return game can look a bit bland at times.