Friday 11 January 2019

Australian Open: Buzarnescu to beat Williams @ 2.25

Buzarnescu to beat Williams @ 2.25 

Williams is always vulnerable as we are never sure what her condition will be, Buzarnescu has had a poor start tot eh season but if she can rediscover the same form as last season then she will be. match for Williams here. 

                                           HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

Buzarnescu                        63.4%                                        38.4% 
Williams                              64%                                           38.7% 

Puig to beat Pavlyuchenkova @ 2.21 

Puig leads the head to head 1-0, Pavlyuchenkova looked rusty in her only match this season losing in three sets, Puig meanwhile has at least played more matches and although not exactly tearing up trees I do think she has the game to cause Pavy problems with her attacking and flat hitting exposing Pavlyuchankova’s movement around the court 

                                            HOLD SERVE                          BREAK SERVE 

Puig                                     67.1%                                       34.7% 
Pavlyuchenkova                  69.6%                                       33.9% 

Niculescu to beat Anismova @ 2.40 Anismova is a real talent but Niculescu is a very awkward opponent to play and she will I feel be able to put pressure on the youngsters serve which is a huge weapon and also her variation will cause Anismova problems. 

                                             HOLD SERVE                        BREAK SERVE 

Niculescu                             63.4%                                      51.1% 
Anismova                             73%                                         45.5% 

 Begu to beat Petkovic @ 2.30 Begu leads the head to head 3-2, Petkovic is not a player I trust on hard courts at odds on, she can have a very vulnerable serve on hard courts 

                                            HOLD SERVE                         BREAK SERVE 

Begu                                   58.5%                                       35.8% 
Petkovic                              61%                                          42.1% 

Watson to beat Martic @ 2.50 

                                           HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

Watson                               66.1%                                        36.8% 
Martic                                 73.1%                                        36.8% 

Vikhlyantseva to beat Lepchenko @ 2.20 

                                            HOLD SERVE                           BREAK SERVE 

Vikhlyantseva                     65.4%                                         31.9% 
Lepchenko                         62%                                             37.9%

Outright - It looks quite an open contest this year with doubts around those at the top of the market, Serena is she still good enough and although she looked ok at the Hopman Cup in Perth that in all essence is an exhibition event so to be taking a short price about her here seems crazy considering her last competitive match was back at the US Open. Angelique Kerber was someone I was interested in for her consistency and I feel she will go a long way but too short a price, Osaka, Stephens both capable but too inconsistent in my eyes. Svitolina has struggled to make it count in Grand Slams and until she does then I won't be siding with her, Kvitova can win anywhere at any time but her record here makes me wary as she has not reached the second week since 2012. Elise Mertens reached the SF last year and is a danger at a big price and not a player I would discount from going close here. Sabalenka is a major threat with her power she reminds me of Kvitova on grass the way she can just dismantle and overpower opponents but she is plenty short enough for someone lacking experience in slams., Danielle Collins is another who has the power to cause some problems for players but she might struggle with her draw. Onto the players I have backed Eugenie Bouchard reached the QF and SF in 2014/15 when she exploded onto the scene but more importantly it is somewhere she feels comfortable at despite her appalling form over the last three seasons she has never been knocked out in the first round and now she is looking more like the player of old then she is worth a punt here. Caroline Wozniacki is the defending champion and Simona Halep is the beaten finalist from last season and I am happy to back both despite the fitness concerns over both players as that is factored into the price and both are very consistent. The two outsiders are Gasparyan who was one of the most promising Russian Players before injury struck but last season she showed she retains all of her ability and is a real dark horse but does have a tough draw to overcome and Vondrousova who was in sensational form last season she has the power game to match anyone and is dark horse here to go under the radar and reach the second week. 

Margarita Gasparyan 500-1 
Marketa Vondrousova 250-1 
Eugenie Bouchard 300-1 
Caroline Wozniacki 28-1 
Simona Halep 28-1

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.