Monday, 25 September 2017

WTA WUHAN

WTA WUHAN 

MCHALE TO BEAT GARCIA @ 7-4
Mchale leads the head to head 3-1 winning the last three meetings and has looked in solid form. 


STRYCOVA TO BEAT OSTAPENKO @ 5-4
Strycova has won their only meeting in straight sets and has been playing well, Ostapenko won Seoul last week and I am not sure how she will react this week as it’s always tough backing up a tournament victory. 


CIRSTEA TO BEAT WANG @ 6-4
Wang leads the head to head 1-0. I feel Cirstea’s all-out attacking game could upset Wang here 

MERTENS TO BEAT VESNINA @ 11-10
Mertens has won their only meeting and has been in excellent form all season and I expect that to continue, 

TSURENKO TO BEAT MUGURUZA @ 9-2
Tsurenko leads the head to head 1-0. She can be a real match winner on her day, Fitness concerns but she has always been better when fresh and has not played much tennis recently and looked dynamite in beating Navarro in straight sets. Muguruza has been the class all season but I am worried about her motivation now and happy to oppose at a great price. 

CORNET TO BEAT KUZNETSOVA @ 2-1
Cornet upset Pavy yesterday and I can see something similar in this matchup, She has great athletism and defensive skills and could keep the rallies long forcing Kuznetsova to try and hit winners when they are not there to hit. 

DAVIS TO BEAT MAKAROVA @ 11-4
Davis very consistent and Makarova can throw in a dodgy performance out of nowhere and has very fragile confidence on the court

WTA TASHKENT

KHROMACHEVA TO BEAT HIBINO @ 13-8

HOGENKAMP TO BEAT KRUNIC @ 5-2

Sunday, 24 September 2017

WTA TASHKENT

WTA TASHKENT

BLINKOVA TO BEAT BONDARENKO @ 11-10

Blinkova has had a good season on hard courts with her win-loss record reading 8-3 compared to Bondarenko’s 15-14 and she will see this as an opportunity to get some ranking points towards the end of the season and she will put a lot of pressure on Bondarenko’s serve with her aggressive return game. 

SABALENKA TO BEAT RODINA @ 11-10

Sabalenka leads the head to head 1-0. Rodina can struggle on hard courts due to her lack of power. Sabalenka has an impressive 56-21 record on hard courts this season and her job now is to try to transfer that across to the main circuit. 

DIATCHENKO TO BEAT MARIA @ 7-4

Maria leads the head to head 1-0. Diatchenko is the better player on hard courts 14-4 win-loss record this season compared to Maria’s 7-13 win-loss record. 


WTA WUHAN


DAVIS TO BEAT PETKOVIC @ 6-4

Davis leads the head to head 1-0. Petkovic has struggled this season as shown by her 10-11 win-loss record compared to Davis 16-10. Davis will be too consistent for Petkovic here.

MERTENS TO BEAT OSAKA @ 21-20

Mertens has had a fantastic 2017. Osaka is a good player but very inconsistent and I favour Mertens to come through with her consistency 

NICULESCU TO BEAT BERTENS @ 5-4

Niculescu leads the head to head 2-1 winning both their meetings on hard courts. Bertens has really struggled on hard courts this year with a 4-11 win-loss record compared to Niculescu’s 12-8. Bertens has lost her last four and looked woefully out of form and lacking in confidence. 

WANG TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 9-4

Wang leads the head to head 1-0, I expect Stephens to struggle for the rest of this season after her victory at the US Open and will look to oppose her whenever I can.

VEKIC TO BEAT ZHANG @ 9-4

Zhang leads the head to head 3-1. Vekic has been in excellent form this year and she has risen back up to the top 50. She should not be over 2-1 to win this game, Zhang is a decent player and it should be a close game but if Vekic’s serve works well then she will be very difficult to beat here. 

Thursday, 21 September 2017

WTA SEOUL

WTA SEOUL

ROYG TO BEAT AHN @ 10-11
RUS TO BEAT HON @ 8-11

Both odds on so I am doubling them up, Royg leads the head to head 1-0 has a good serve and should have too much firepower for Awn here, likewise Rus has a great lefty serve which can be very difficult to get a handle on with her height proving a great asset on her serve and she is in good form and Hon might struggle with the step up in class of opponent here. 


GIBBS TO BEAT CIRSTEA @ 6-4 (NAP)

Cirstea is as unpredictable as they come, she can beat most players on her day but also lose to literally anyone. Gibbs is very consistent and a no frills player who will keep the unforced errors low and wait for the errors from Cirstea. 


WTA TOKYO

NARA TO BEAT GARCIA @ 2-1

Nara leads the head to head 2-1 winning both in straight sets on hard courts, the match Garcia won was on grass which is Nara’s most uncomfortable surface. Garcia relies heavily on her serve and Nara;s good return game will put pressure on it here and I think it is deciding factor. 

STRYCOVA TO BEAT KONTA @ 2-1

Konta has struggled since Wimbledon winning only 2 matches out of 6 and suffered a very poor loss in the first round of the US Open. Strycova knows her game well and her variation should cause Konta problems. Strycova was impressive in her first match here beating Rybriakova in straight sets. 


WTA GUANGZHOU

WICKMAYER TO BEAT CORNET @ 21-20

This looks a coin toss of a match and Wickmayer is the value play here in my opinion as neither player is reliable and both are very vulnerable on serve but Wickmayer is a little likely to have a complete meltdown. Cornet leads the head to head 3-1 including winning both on hard courts but her recent form does not convince me as she has been taken to three sets in both her matches here against lesser players. 

Sunday, 17 September 2017

WTA SEOUL

WTA SEOUL
WTA SEOUL 

AHN TO BEAT MARIA @ 13-8 

I am shocked by this price as had Awn down as favourite 14-11 win-loss record on hard courts compared to Maria’s 7-12 says it all. 

CHANG TO BEAT HIBINO @ 13-8

Chang leads the head to head 2-1. Neither player has been in great form Hibini 16-16 on hard courts this season and Chang 12-11.This looks a coin toss of a much so to be getting 13-8 on one player is value in my eyes. 


ZAVATSKA TO BEAT MAIA @ 13-5

Zavatska has been in decent form reaching the final of her last tournament on the ITF circuit. Maia has not looked in good form recently, she did not get through qualifying at New Haven and was dumped out first round in the US Open by Donna Vekic. 9-3 record on hard courts for Zavatska compared to Maia’s 12-7 and towards the end of the season I wonder about the motivation for some of the players and Zavatska will be right on this as her confidence will be sky high and she may just catch out Maia at a good price.

HOGENKAMP TO BEAT BERTENS @ 7-2

Head to head is tied 3-3 and on hardcourt, the record becomes 2-1 Bertens. Both players were in excellent form on the clay this season but have struggled on the hard courts. Looking at their respective career records then Higenkamp has the better record 76-45 compared to 83-70 for Bertens and with it being quite a tight head to head I am happy to chance Hogenkamp coming through here, a lot will depend on her serve as if she can get that working well then she will be hard to break. 

Saturday, 16 September 2017

WTA QUEBEC

WTA QUEBEC

VAN UYTVANCK TO BEAT MARIA @ 11-10

VAN UYTVANCK V MARIA OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 21-20

VAN UYTVANCK V MARIA TO FEATURE A TIEBREAK IN THE MATCH @ 9-4

Van Uytvanck has the better record on indoor hard courts with an 89-37 career win-loss record compared to Maria’s 126-62, they are tied 1-1 in the head to head meeting bot on indoor hard courts and featuring an average of 28.5 games per match and both matches featured a tie-break which I can see no reason for opposing again. 

SAFAROVA V BABOS OVER 22.5 GAMES @ 11-10

SAFAROVA V BABOS TO FEATURE A TIEBREAK IN THE MATCH @ 12-5

Safarova leads the head to head 2-1, they have met on indoor hard courts once with Safarova winning in three sets. In their three matches, two have gone to three sets and the average games played is over 28. The only time the match was over in two sets the games still totaled 22 games. Both players have a good serve but not the best return game so I expect it to be serve dominated with maybe one break deciding the set or a tie-break as two of the three matches have featured a tie-break.

Tuesday, 12 September 2017

WTA QUEBEC

ANDREESCU
WTA QUEBEC

ANDREESCU TO BEAT BRADY @ 6-5

Andreescu leads the head to head 2-0 and her variation exposes Brady’s lack of movement

DOLEHIDE TO BEAT DODIN @ 13-8


WTA TOKYO

KOVINIC TO BEAT MCHALE @ 19-10

Kovinic leads the head to head 2-1 although both her wins have been on clay, she has won her three matches here so far and I expect a fast start as Mchale will likely to a little while to adjust to conditions. 

RISKE TO BEAT KRUNIC @ EVENS

Riske leads the head to head 1-0 and Krunic more at home on a clay surface. 

FETT TO BEAT MLADENOVIC @ 7-4

Fett has been playing well, has a big serve and powerful groundstrokes, Mladenovic still over rated on hard courts as illustrated by her 13-13 win loss record over the last 12 months compared to Fett’s 15-8

Sunday, 10 September 2017

WTA TOKYO

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
JAPAN OPEN - WTA TOKYO

SASNOVICH TO BEAT CEPELOVA @ 11-10
SASNOVICH V CEPELOVA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ EVENS

Cepelova leads the head to head 2-0 one on the hard court and once on clay. Sasnovich has been playing well this season and her record on hard courts is 11-8 compared to Cepelova who is 9-9 and certainly favours the clay surface. Sasnovich has a lot of variation to her game and is a real confidence player and she has the sort of game that can be imposed on Cepelova who struggles with confidence during a match if things start going against her sometimes. 

RISKE TO BEAT BRENGLE @ 8-13
MERTENS TO BEAT RODINA @ 4-11
FETT TO BEAT KERKHOVE @ 4-7
WANG TO BEAT HSIEH @ 8-13

Yankee with Paddy Power not a bet I normally take but I have been through the games and think they are all very strong favourites and offer a bit of value combined.

WTA 125K Dalian

ZVONAREVA TO BEAT KOZLOVA @ 2-1

Kozlova is happier on clay as her records over the last 12 months show. 17-16 win loss record on hard courts compared to 17-7 over the same period on clay. Today’s surface will be perfect or Zvonareva who hits the ball flat and hard, has excellent defensive skills and while she may not be the player she was three years ago after her injuries she still has the talent to defeat Kozlova here. Zvonareva has improved with every match she has player and her confidence is growing, she looks a huge price here to win.

Player Profile: Vera Igorevna Zvonareva is a Russian professional tennis player. She was introduced to tennis at the age of six and turned professional in 2000. Her career high is World No. 2 by the WTA

Sunday, 3 September 2017

US Open

KEYS TO BEAT SVITOLINA @ EVENS

Svitolina has not played to her full potential so far this week after a great season and Keys has the power to hit through her. Keys can be erratic but if she is on form then her powerful serve and groundstrokes will be very difficult for Svitolina to cope with as was shown in their only meeting when Svitolina retired 4-2 down in the second set after losing the first set. 


SAFAROVA TO BEAT VANDERWEGHE @ 11-10

Safarova leads the head to head 3-1 and on hard court she leads 2-0. Coco has not looked overly impressive in reaching this stage coming through in three sets against Riske and also Radwanska when in all honesty she should have lost. Safarova has also been taken to three sets twice but actually ended up winning those matches quite easily and I cannot get away from the head to head which I think shows Vanderweghe does not enjoy this match up. 

Thursday, 31 August 2017

US Open

WTA PRO
VEKIC TO BEAT SEVASTOVA @ 13-10 

Vekic has been showing the form that made her a hot prospect three years ago. She hits the ball well and has an excellent serve and good movement all round she has no real weakness except lack of confidence. Sevastova is another hugely talented player but more at home on clay as shown by her 13-13 record on hard courts over the last 12 months compared to Vekic’s 20-13 record over the same time period. 

BARTY TO BEAT STEPHENS @ 11-10 

Barty has been in excellent form all season and is playing with such confidence that she has to be the call against a talented but frustrating Stephens who has all the talent in the world but not the mental strength and determination to tough out matches. Barty never gives up and she is a class above Stephens in this aspect.