Saturday, 20 August 2016

WTA Cincinnati & New Haven

Karolina Pliskova


Two very well matched opponents here as shown by the statistics and previous meetings. Pliskova leads the head to head 2-1 winning both their matches on outdoor hard courts with Muguraza winning the only meeting on clay in three sets.

Pliskova 26-15  Muguruza 22-10 are their respective records on outdoor hard courts over the last 12 months and looking at the service and return stats we can see that this is just as close

                    HOLD SERVE            BREAKS OPPONENT

PLISKOVA            74.4%                 32.6%

MUGURUZA            75.2%                 37.7%

Muguruza is certainly the better on return of serve but this may be negated by how good Pliskova’s serve actually is, looking at the previous meetings all the matches have been close and on chard courts they have played 5 sets and three of those have finished 7-5 in terms of game score with the other two finishing 6-4.

On the other meeting on clay it was a three sets match but sure enough two of the three sets finished 7-5, 6-4 so that certainly is the favoured scoreline and those are the bets I am taking today at good prices. 

SET 1 SCORE  7-5   Any Player @6-1  WHILL     1 Pt Win

SET 2 SCORE  7-5   Any Player @13-2 WHILL     1 Pt Win

Nicole Gibbs - WTA Tennis - New Haven


Nicole Gibbs to beat Keteryna Bondarenko @ 11-8 

Both players have been in excellent form this season, Gibbs 42-17 win-loss record on hard courts over the last 12 months compared to Bondarenko 35-15. Again this is a bit of a coin toss of a match but I would have them priced closer to each other 

                    HOLD SERVE        BREAKS OPPONENT

GIBBS               69.5%             43.3%

BONDARENKO          67.7%             43%    

Nao Hibinio to beat Anna Konjuh @ 13-8

Both players have similar records this season on hard courts with Hibinio win loss records 30-25 compared to Konjuh 16-14, the issue I have with Konjuh is she is being priced up on potential rather than what she has achieved, in my opinion both players should be around EVENS.
                    HOLD SERVE         BREAKS OPPONENT 

HIBINIO             64.3%              33.9%

KONJUH              66%                31.9%

Kateryna Kozlova to beat Annett Konteveit @ 11-10

Kozlova’s record on hard courts over 12 months is 14-9 compared to Kontaveit’s 20-11, but Kontaveit although in my opinion is the better and more explosive player her confidence has been so low and she has not reached a latter part of any tournament since Nottingham in June where she reached the QF. Kozlova is the more consistent and stable of the players where as Kontaveit hits the ball tremendously hard and the winners can flow when she is high on confidence. 

                    HOLD SERVE           BREAKS OPPONENT

KOZLOVA             68.1%                41%

KONTAVEIT           66.4%                36.7%

I am favouring Kozlova’s consistency to come through here against a player who still looks a little short of confidence. 

Kozlova     11-10
Hibinio     13-8
Gibbs         11-8        

0.25 Pts trixie with BETFRED (Total 1 pt staked)

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