Sunday, 9 July 2017

WIMBLEDON DAY 7

RADWANSKA TO BEAT KUZNETSOVA @ 6-4 

RADWANSKA V KUZNETSOVA OVER 26.5 GAMES @ 27-11 

Kuznetsova leads the head to head 13-4 and on grass they have only met twice and it is 1-1. 10 of their 17 meetings have gone three sets including the last 4 meetings between the two and these matches have average 29.75 games between them. Kuznetsova has looked in excellent form this week not dropping a set while Radwanska has been taken to three sets twice but has found a way to win and looks to be growing in confidence and in my opinion this is the one surface that does favour Radwanska. 

                                     HOLD SERVE                    BREAK SERVE 

RADWANSKA             75.8%                                  40.3% 
KUZNETSOVA           72.4%                                   35% 

KERBER TO BEAT MUGURUZA @ 11-8 

Muguruza leads the head to head 4-3 including the one time they have met on grass. Both have improved their form since switching to grass but looking at their respective win loss records then Muguruza is 24-14 compared to Kerber's 55-22 and I think her superior movement and defensive skills will be the difference today and Kerber to come through in three tight sets. Average games per match between these two is 22.42 and that is with just three of the seven matches going to three sets 

                                     HOLD SERVE                    BREAK SERVE 

KERBER                     75%                                     37.2% 
MUGURUZA               74.7%                                  31.5% 

OSTAPENKO TO BEAT SVITOLINA @ EVENS 

Ostapenko is 12-8 on grass throughout her short career and Svitolina is 8-11. Ostapenko looks a future Wimbledon champion as she won the junior event here three years ago and grass suits her powerful all out attacking game and I think she will have far too much for Svitolina here. Both players can be vulnerable on serve but Ostapenko is such a threat on her return game that I think Svitolina will struggle all match to hold serve. 

                                  HOLD SERVE                      BREAK SERVE 

OSTAPENKO           65.2%                                    41% 
SVITOLINA              65.8%                                    33.5% 

AZARENKA TO BEAT HALEP @ 13-10 

Azarenka leads the head to head 2-1 they have never played on grass. Azarenka is back on the tour and getting better with every match she plays, history shows that Halep struggles with Azarenka's game and if she can continue her improvement back on the tour then Halep will struggle to get anything out of this match on a surface she can look uneasy on. 

                                HOLD SERVE                       BREAK SERVE 

AZARENKA            77%                                        39% 
HALEP                   73%                                        41.8% 

WOZNIACKI TO BEAT VANDERWEGHE @ 13-10 

Wozniacki leads the head to head 2-0 they have never met on grass. Average games per match are 23.5. Both have looked impressive so far this week especially Wozniacki who has come through three tough opponents and looks to be playing close to her best. The problem with this match up for Coco is Wozniacki's defensive skills are the best on tour and it frustrates Vanderweghe who ends up going for too much on her shots and makes too many unforced errors and I cannot see this pattern changing. Both players are excellent on grass with Vanderweghe record standing at 49-20 and Wozniacki's 48-22. 

                                HOLD SERVE                         BREAK SERVE 

WOZNIACKI           77%                                        38.1% 
VANDERWEGHE   79.8%                                     30.7% 

MULTIPLE BET - BET 365 KERBER V MUGURUZA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ 4-5 RADWANSKA V KUZNETSOVA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ 5-6 WOZNIACKI V VANDERWEGHE OVER 21.5 GAMES @ 4-5

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