Saturday, 13 August 2016

WTA CINCINNATI 2016

Anastasija Sevastova to beat Sabine Lisicki @ 6-5 1 Pt Win (BET 365) 

Sevastova while more at home on clay is a decent hard court player as her win/loss record of 94-54 throughout her career shows, over the last 12 months she is 9-9 on outdoor hard court. Lisicki on the other hand for a high profile player she is very one dimensional and has an atrocious hard court record of 138-111 and over the last 12 months she is 9 wins to 13 losses which considers the power she possesses shows just how poor her actual game is. Sevastova is in the better form in her last four tournaments she has reached the final twice albeit one on clay and the other on grass, Lisicki has not managed to get past round 16 since Kuala Lumpur in Feb of this year! 

18 Month statistics on both players on outdoor hard courts shows both players almost identical, when you consider that Lisicki’s main weapon is her serve then you can see her stats are not impressive. 

                   Holds Serve     Breaks Serve 
Serve Sevastova    66.3%           35.8% 
Lisicki            67.7%           36.2% 

It looks a very close match to me, Lisicki has the potential to blast anyone off court on her day but they are so few and far between that I am happy to take a chance on it not being her day today against a steady if unspectacular opponent.

Viktorja Golubic to beat Lauren Davis @ 11-10 1 Pt Win (BET 365) 

Golubic has been in great form this season with a win/loss record of 35 -14 and is playing with such confidence her one handed backhand is a joy to watch, Davis is a steady player with no real weapons to hurt anyone and relies on players performing a little below their best and her consistency will take her through. Hard court record are Davis 21-16 this year and Golubic 25-6 

18 Statistics on both players on outdoor hard courts favour Golubic especially on return of serve and I expect her to put a lot of pressure on Davis’s serve to day and to come through 

                  Holds Serve      Breaks Serve 
Davis             60.2%            34.9% 
Golubic           62.2%            45.4% 

Both are one point win bets, I was looking at both Shvedova and Goerges to put with them in a multiple but both players are very unreliable and at Evens I am happy to swerve them.


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