Wednesday, 31 August 2016

US Open 2016

BELINDA BENCIC TO BEAT ANDREA PETKOVIC @ 10-11 (CORAL)

Win/loss records on hard courts over the last 12 months are Bencic 17-13 Petkovic 15-15. Neither player is playing full of confidence at the minute but the simple fact is Bencic is a better player providing her fitness levels are ok. She has struggled ever since Wimbledon but came through a tough three-setter here in her first match. 

            





                SERVICE HOLD    SERVICE BREAK

BENCIC          70.7%            35.6%

PETKOVIC        63.4%            40.8%



ROBERTA VINCI TO BEAT CHRISTINA MCHALE @ 10-11 (CORAL)

Win/ loss records on hard courts over 12 months are almost identical with Vinci 26-17, Mchale 24-17. Neither playing been playing spectacular well over the last few weeks, Vinic leads the head to head 2-0 with both wins on hard courts. I am expecting a tight match but with Vinci’s great memories here and her greater variation that should ensure victory as Mchale can be very one dimensional and get frustrated with Vinci’s variations. 


                SERVICE HOLD    SERVICE BREAK

VINCI           66.5%            40.3%

MCHALE          63.9%            38.3%


CATHERINE BELLIS TO BEAT SHELBY ROGERS @ 4-5 (CORAL)


Win/loss records on hard courts are Rogers 13-8, Bellis 26-10. Ellis has looked in excellent form here so far winning her four matches and three of the in straight sets. Rogers movement can cause her problems and I think Bellis with her movement will force Rogers to go for more winners and unforced errors will decide this match. 

                SERVICE HOLD    SERVICE BREAK

ROGERS          50.6%            30.8%

BELLIS          70.6%            43.5%

  
DENISA ALLERTOVA TO BEAT JOHANNA LARSSON @ 6-4 (CORAL)    1 Pt Win

Larsson 21-16 Allertova 13-9 win loss record on hard courts, Larsson been in excellent form reaching the SF at New Haven before beating Knapp easily in first round here. Allertova beat Ivanovic in straight sets in her first match and does have the power to be able to blow Larsson off the court and that is what I feel may happen today, bigger groundstrokes, bigger serve and if it all connects then Larsson will be powerless to do anything about it. 

                         SERVICE HOLD    SERVICE BREAK

ALLERTOVA        63.1%           41.9%

LARSSON          66.2%           37.9%



MIRJANA LUCIC BARONI TO BEAT AGELIQUE KERBER @ 7-1 (BET365, LADBROKES)  1 Pt Win

Ok this is a total left field pick, Although everything points to Kerber winning this match, Baroni is a player who when on form can match anyone and if she has a going day then odds of 7-1 will look ridiculous. It is a match I am trading but also can't resist a little bet on Baroni to cause an upset here with her all-out attacking style. 


                SERVICE HOLD    SERVICE BREAK

                
BARONI          61.5%            41.6%

KERBER          66.3%            48%



BENCIC     10-11
VINCI        10-11
BELLIS      4-5

0.25 Pt trixie (1 pt staked)  CORALS 

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